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Market Analysis - Technical View
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off course yes.fully agreed...
In reply to:
Where is the BOTTOM ? Sensex-10587/Nifty-3177
Posted by :
CompletelyWrong
Nodick, do you agree with my comments on Pyramid Saimira board. 
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Dear Sriman35,
Ok.. I mis - Spelled earlier. Now corrected....
This is the data for Friday..
Sharad Kotak Of
Kotak Investment
Opines that WHAT LOW FORMED ON FRIDAY CAN BE THE LOW FOR NEXT THREE MONTHS..............
Sensex Low on FRIFAY 10-10-2008 is =10239.76
NIFTY Low on FRIDAY 10-10-2008 is = 3198.95
Now let us see what happens from Monday.....
Lalit
...
In reply to:
Where is the BOTTOM ? Sensex-10587/Nifty-3177
Posted by :
Sriman35
Hi Lalit desh pandey,
It is a matter of time before that target is reached. Though I have predicted a target of 8500 for sensex.. I am not 100% confident. But 4 digit mark is a certain (atleast in intra-day).
Present situation is beyond any one`s guess/analysis.
Regards,
Sri (Sriman and not Sriram)
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Nodick, do you agree with my comments on Pyramid Saimira board....
In reply to:
Where is the BOTTOM ? Sensex-10587/Nifty-3177
Posted by : Nodick
Really great call if it was made ... and congrates and Pandeyji problem is that most of investors are idiot retail investors who want to stay in fools` paradise and never like to read any message pertaining to mandi or price down. Let them sink if they will loose we will earn
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I too shared this opinion in my message but why the regulators are sleeping but too late now...
In reply to:
short selling has to banned
Posted by :
rubanin
sebi has to ban short selling in major scripts so that volatity will be controlled and no one will not take advantage of market fall and so that investor confidence will come back to market
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udydudy-This time around Indians are buying not FII`s!!FII`s and Hedge Funds seem to be broke!!...
In reply to:
Capitulation!! Buying Opportunity Galore!!!
Posted by : udydudy
Chief_Kamani
Roping in FIIs was the best thingthat happened to the Indian markets. The bad thingthat happened (common in every market) was that greed got way into rational thinking at 21000. Rather than get out many got in.
Same way(atleast for people in cash) The FIIs by their stampede mentality(on both sides to & bottom) have brought A group shares to mouth watering levels one should surely buy now at these levels atleast into shares which have single digit PEs and book values.
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dear sp.palo,
our market is been fii driven and and global situation will improve or go down ,no one knows.now days,nothing is impossible. investor confidence is shattered and they will be happy if volatility cools down and market stabilize at this level.
cheers!!...
In reply to:
EWT Alert: Downward logical target is near
Posted by : sp.palo
dear sam_pd,
i fear the FII were waiting for this level of Nifty for selling. Still the global scenario is uncertain, so as our markets. Though todays pull back gave some confidence, still new low is possible if all FIIs decide to get out of India.
cheers
shakti
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dear sam_pd,
i fear the FII were waiting for this level of Nifty for selling. Still the global scenario is uncertain, so as our markets. Though todays pull back gave some confidence, still new low is possible if all FIIs decide to get out of India.
cheers
shakti...
In reply to:
EWT Alert: Downward logical target is near
Posted by : sam_pd
Dear Bull2008,
When everyday some panic news is circulated and few big one eats all the liquidity and cry for help, no body knows what will happen next.let us see how long investor around the world will surrender to sheer manipulation and taken for ride.Few big ones will gather all the wealth from many many small ones.
at last nifty has given 200 points bounce. little stability is more important than this craziness of high volatility.let us hope some sense returns to market and annihilation of investor stops.
Cheers!!
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Dear Bull2008,
When everyday some panic news is circulated and few big one eats all the liquidity and cry for help, no body knows what will happen next.let us see how long investor around the world will surrender to sheer manipulation and taken for ride.Few big ones will gather all the wealth from many many small ones.
at last nifty has given 200 points bounce. little stability is more important than this craziness of high volatility.let us hope some sense returns to market and annihilation of investor stops.
Cheers!!...
In reply to:
EWT Alert: Downward logical target is near
Posted by : Bull 2008
Dear Sam
We may be near the intermediate bottom but the big question is if any of the big assets comes under pressure with might see freefalls once again. Other postive developments are
The Nuke deal too has been signed.
Crude has slipped below the 80$ mark.
Cheers
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This market will go up more before seeing a slide... The first bottom I would again revisit the technical analysis is 8910 on the sensex and 2760 on the Nifty... This would give us further clues... As to will this be the bottom or not... Cheers......
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Sensex Technical View :
The preferred technical view that Sensex may take a bounce back from 10900-11500 has not gone in tandem with market moves. The next important technical levels are 9700-9500 which is the 61.8% correction which was a scenario taken in case there is much more selling seen and possibly we could give a bounce before going there. Sensex has touched 10200 almost and needs to be seen whether it goes to 9500-9700 or lower zones or gives a bounce from here and then consolidate at lower levels. On the long term charts 8799 the low made around 2006 and 2600 on Nifty are of supreme importance for the long term bull run. Continue to watch these levels and reactions.Once we see a bottom formation or hints of it we can cover views on how recovery periods were historically.
Although the timing of buying must have not been appropriate at 11k-12k levels, but as being repeated we have confined our investments to 50-60 % max which does leave us a good scope to buy on lower side in bargains or reduce investments at bounce backs for more comfort. Many stocks picked up would be down 10-30 % from acquisition pricce as buying has been looked in a staggered manner,small lots and we still do have some more apetite to buy and have strictly avoided real estate , pvt banks, capital goods in our preferred stocks and the selected ones do have the more chances of participating well in any bounce backs.
Majority of the value erosion has been seen in Real estate down 80-95 % , Pvt Banks and Capital goods have also seen major erosions. I have been very strict on avoiding these as these stocks may take lot of time to even give decent bounce backs and in real estate stocks total value erosion. In other stocks invested at sub 13k levels investors maybe seeing notional losses for the partial quantities but these stocks have good chances of coming back in stable times. But in real estate stocks the risk is going the 2000-2003 IT way. But high risk investors can take a risk buy 3-5 stocks of real estate companies like DLF,HDIL,Unitech,JP Associates etc at 15-5 % of peak slowly as somehow i feel these companies remain in business in next 2-4 years at least one or two may end up giving such returns to sidetrack losses of those who dont , and yes it will require patience and Risk....
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Axis Bk up 11%; Q2 net 4.03 bln rupees vs 2.28 bln..........
Nifty fut tgt 1 achived call give at 3410 now 3454 Axis bank and Icici Bank calls are doing very well and achieved target ....
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Buy Nifty Oct Fut 3439 TGT ........, 3500 SL .....
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Sensex Up 430 Points With Nifty Up By Near 100 Points...
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ISIN :
International Securities Identification Number is a unique identification number for a security.
..
In-the-Money
A call option is said to be in the money when it has a strike price below the current price of the underlying commodity or security on which the option has been written. Likewise when a put option has a strike price above the current price it is said to be in the money.
..
TC-131008-S-01...
In reply to:
< Enhance Stock Knowledge Skills >
Posted by : TrueCompanion
//
Paid in Capital :
The difference between par or book-keeping value of a security and the amount realised from the sale or distribution of those shares by the company.
//
Paid up Capital :
The amount of capital, both equity and preference, paid up by the shareholders against the capital subscribed to by them.
//
TC-121008-S-01
Dear goldchest,
Very warm greetings. I owe you this post for a while.
I have been almost completely off MMB.
In between I dropped in a day, and sheer chance,
your post "The Last Stand" was the first one I saw.
Promptly, over the next two days, I sold
whatever else remained on my sell-list after
our last exchange.
Thanks friend. Thanks for the caution and the reminder.
I see today that you have restated
that the sensex is likely to drop to 8800.
Thanks once again.
As I requested last time, please do write
when you see it is time to buy.
As shared, most of my time in last two months
has been given as a volunteer for the Buddhist
Master Thich Nath Hanh`s visit to India.
Over the last fortnight I have
translated his discourses from English
into Hindi for the listners and sadhaks.
A unique and once in a life time
experience.
Thank GC once again, for yours service in your way.
Warm Regards
KM
...
In reply to:
The Last Stand !!
Posted by : goldchest
I would like to alert my friends on this Board that we are in the middle of a Meltdown.The excesses and froth of the 5 Yr Bull Run are being washed away with a vengeance.
I actually saw the Market turning in mid Jan 2008 and in a special intraday post on the Technical Board I had written in bold -- "Get out now".I must confess that we Technical Analysts learnt more lessons in the last 5 Yrs than in the preceeding quarter century.Nobody would have ever seen a Monthly Stochastic Chart the SENSEX displayed in the 6 months prior to the January bust.Two lines fused as one horizontal line at the maximum limit.
The Bull Run looked like it was over mid July 07 at a Sensex High of 15868.The support it took more than 2000 pts lower and subsequent breakout on 19 Sep 2007 was launch into EUPHORIA zone.The GAP it made that day was the problem.My experience knew that a Gap in "All Time High Zone" cannot sustain.You cannot have a fourth floor in a building without a 3rd Floor.At best the Gap gets filled in a few days or a few hundred points.Negative divergences in the Charts for all time periods told us its all over,give or take a few days.That this Gap took a load of over 5000 points over a four month period,is a miracle.I would not have given it a chance of even 1/10000.
Yes we have filled the Gap,in Jan 08 in just a few days.Lower Tops and Bottoms means excesses have not yet been washed out.The 12300/550 range of Sensex is the last support.The question for us is whether it will break?If this level breaks my RSI confirmation tells me we have a free fall,nothing will hold till we are safely in 4 digits.
Pray that we clear out 13500 because Sensex range 12500/13500 is the Precipice,only 1 day away from free fall.
Where will you place your Bets ??
Good Luck to All!
Goldchest.
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