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Moneycontrol >> Messageboard >> Market View >> Market Outlook - Short Term
   You are here :     Moneycontrol     MMB   Market View   Market Outlook - Short Term

Market Outlook - Short Term

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06 Sep 2008 04:35

Mr bullsheet so do expect gold under 400 in couple of years..... ...

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : BullSheetRules

Dear jonas,

DOW going below 11080 will signify that short term weakness else SMART money will again start moving into DOW and other markets including indian market! :) :) Money made from oil, gold, silver etc will eventually move to equity market. :)

Gud luk & happy investing!

06 Sep 2008 04:24

MKt may find new BOTTOM [1] Early central election[2] N pact impact on relation with U S [3] earnig season impact[4] IRAN _ AMERICA tense ...

In reply to:

Technology, metals, banks, real estate stks hammered

Posted by : MMB Messenger

It has been a struggle through the trading day today. It’s not been one of those days where we started badly and then recovered almost immediately; the first gap down and then the market has just been in that 300-450 points down range throughout the day on the Sensex.

06 Sep 2008 04:20

MKt may find new BOTTOM [1] Early central election[2] N pact impact on relation with U S [3] earnig season impact[4] IRAN _ AMERICA tense ...

In reply to:

Technology, metals, banks, real estate stks hammered

Posted by : MMB Messenger

It has been a struggle through the trading day today. It’s not been one of those days where we started badly and then recovered almost immediately; the first gap down and then the market has just been in that 300-450 points down range throughout the day on the Sensex.

06 Sep 2008 04:20

It has been a struggle through the trading day today. It’s not been one of those days where we started badly and then recovered almost immediately; the first gap down and then the market has just been in that 300-450 points down range throughout the day on the Sensex. ...

06 Sep 2008 00:41

If all investors are abhimanyu\\`s then what is the use of chakra Vyooh. Only retailers are abhimanyu\\`s....

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : vam_aru

Stock markets like Chakra Vyooh ( Mahabharat ), and we ( all investors )are like Abhimanyu's , we know how to enter it, but we don't know how to come out of it......lol

06 Sep 2008 00:35

Stock markets like Chakra Vyooh ( Mahabharat ), and we ( all investors )are like Abhimanyu's , we know how to enter it, but we don't know how to come out of it......lol...

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : radhika_nandlal

Could be coz the TRIN gave enough indications the past few days thats somethign was amiss.. next time i see a rally for 3 days in a row with an oversold TRIN for 3 days i will be very cautious... how come the markets demand fresh tution fees everytime... i think gurudakshina lapses on our part in previous births attract us towards this gambling den called stockmarkets...

06 Sep 2008 00:22

Dear Raj,

quote
In the longer term though, Indian markets are likely to outperform.
unquote

this particular dialogue is bit overdone, every one on street says this statement. sick and tired of it..

point is be it short term medium term or long term, if one knows where to go long he/she will win in this mkt.

Unlike some idiots who were so adamant to give short calls at 3800, they go for quick money and shorting always gives quick money but it also ensures everything earned vanishes in 2 session (like the one we saw in UPA rally)

Positive mind with a plan will always benefit in mkt. Mkt from 3800 - 4500 is sheer outperformance

Take care...

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : raj_tibs

Dea pkk,

In the medium term, underperformance is more likely - given the high-beta nature of our markets. Also, barring crude tanking to sub-90 levels, there are not likely to be any immediate triggers for an upmove. The game was played well, and the market falls under its own weight, despite crude correcting so much.

In the longer term though, Indian markets are likely to outperform. Will wait patiently till the post elections crash to take any major long positions.

-r

05 Sep 2008 23:15

Dear Bullsheetrules,

Bovespa almost kissed 50k today on oil weakness.
If Dow starts moving up towards 12k from Monday , we should have a good week ahead.

Negative outcome of NSG meeting may be easily discounted.

Hedge funds r Long USD at present, they will start pumping money into equities from oct onwards.
By the grace of GOD i could forsee, as early as May, the Big Boys going Short commodities n Long USD from july to sep period.

Regards....

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : BullSheetRules

Dear jonas,

DOW going below 11080 will signify that short term weakness else SMART money will again start moving into DOW and other markets including indian market! :) :) Money made from oil, gold, silver etc will eventually move to equity market. :)

Gud luk & happy investing!

05 Sep 2008 21:40

Could be coz the TRIN gave enough indications the past few days thats somethign was amiss.. next time i see a rally for 3 days in a row with an oversold TRIN for 3 days i will be very cautious... how come the markets demand fresh tution fees everytime... i think gurudakshina lapses on our part in previous births attract us towards this gambling den called stockmarkets......

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : hindlevernet

Dear Rahika,

Technical Analysis, I think is ultimate tool
to see the levels of Resistance and Support. It
can be equally applied in short and long term.

Yesterday I was wondering that how Nifty will
behave today on 05 September. Inflation numbers
were acceptable. Nifty graph was indicating
strong rally. In the evening Dow collapsed. I
was not able to comprehend how Nifty should behave.
But even after following global cues, Technical
Analysis was stil in place. Nifty support of 4320
was not violated. It still did not fall below
peak of first minute wave of this present rally
that began on 28 August. Mastery of TA is the
mastery of the stockmarket.

I cannot help posting the names of great boarders
here:

RADHIKA
COLUMBUS
GURUPADA
KALIDAS
AMARAKBAR

I must have missed some names here for which I
apologise.


SURESH MITTAL

05 Sep 2008 21:31

Lovemeall,

The TRIN did indicate something fisy.. when we had a 500 point rally that day it was oversold at 1.6, and was oversold all three days this week when we rallied or were resilient.. but then since we dint fall i thought i was reading too much into the bearish TRIN and on an impulse let go my PUTS for a song.... too bad....

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : lovemeall26

Yes radkhikaji,
After seeing nifty do a topsy turn inspite of the charts showing something else for the past two days, I too feel like throwing TA into the dustbin. Sheer madness going on these days worldwide.
After such a strong rally on tuesday, all TA was showing a higher trajectory, but nope, nifty had other plans. Seems , we will have to overlook TA for a few days and see the market sentiments which are taking more centrestage these days.
lovemeall26

05 Sep 2008 21:06

I mean the points collected in contributing to this forum, once you collected 500 points you will be upgraded to platinum....

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : nightowl

WHAT 500 POINTS???? i8 not understand.......

05 Sep 2008 21:04

Dea pkk,

In the medium term, underperformance is more likely - given the high-beta nature of our markets. Also, barring crude tanking to sub-90 levels, there are not likely to be any immediate triggers for an upmove. The game was played well, and the market falls under its own weight, despite crude correcting so much.

In the longer term though, Indian markets are likely to outperform. Will wait patiently till the post elections crash to take any major long positions.

-r...

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : pkk07

Seems like India is all set to NOT get the waiver at NSG. This effectively means that this govt. has to not just go out with a red face, its the end of political career of Mr. Manmohan Singh.
Worse than that, it shows India its place in world matters. However proud we may be of our resurgent nation, the world still thinks we are shit.
Wonder how would the stock markets react on Monday. Are we staring at another black Monday on back of more sell off in Europe and US and NSG failure?

05 Sep 2008 21:00

0518
which typo????? i did not notice any... methinks my typos are becoming the joke of the board...lols
ritts...

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : googol

0518

Yeah I know you would jump at the word and say 'look googol what do you say for this typo?'

M'am in all humility all I can say is that the typo was by design!

05 Sep 2008 20:36

Just read another interesting article from the same BS advisor Lehman for its own SAD story to UNFOLD soon... Part 1
--

Last Call: Lehman hurt by worries over financials
Associated Press 09.04.08, 3:45 PM ET

NEW YORK -

Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. was among the hardest hit stocks in the financial sector Thursday as investors who are worried about the fallout from bad mortgage debt focused on the company.

Wall Street has been worried about the nation\\`s fourth-largest investment bank because of its exposure to mortgage-backed securities.

Lehman shares fell .55, or 9.2 percent, to .39. The stock has traded between .02 and .73 in the past 12 months.

The day before, Lehman stock climbed on reports that the troubled investment bank might find a fresh source of capital, including a possible investment by state-owned Korea Development Bank and partners.

Investors have speculated in recent weeks that Lehman strike a deal to obtain a capital injection.

Wall Street suffered from widespread selling Thursday as worries about the economy and the well-being of corporate balance sheets roiled investors.

Copyright 2008 Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed
...

In reply to:

India stock investors should buy :Lehman

Posted by : BullSheetRules

An interesting news item:

---

India stock investors should buy on dips: Lehman
5 Sep, 2008, 1948 hrs IST, REUTERS

MUMBAI: Indian stock markets may fall by 10-15 percent in the short-term, but index levels between 12,500 and 13,000 can be viewed as buying opportunities in the coming year as inflation has peaked, Lehman Brothers said in a report.

The benchmark BSE index may trade between 14,000 and 19,685 in the next 12 months, Lehman said in the report dated Sept. 3 and released to the media on Friday.

Investors should consider buying shares in auto, media, consumer, telecom, real estate and pharma companies as well as banks, the research house said. Capital goods, non-ferrous metals and cement companies can be avoided, it added.

Double-digit inflation and subsequent monetary tightening by the central bank fuelled concerns of an economic slowdown and send the benchmark BSE index down 28.6 percent this year.

Inflation, which rose to 12.63 percent in August, was mostly driven by commodities and is likely to abate in the second half of current fiscal year on easing crude oil prices, Lehman said.

However, the central bank may continue with its tight monetary policy because of fiscal deficit concerns, Lehman said. With federal elections due early next year, the government is likely to boost spending, the research house added.

The government\\`s expenses will likely balloon on higher subsidies to fertiliser companies, oil bonds, farm loan waivers and wage increases for government employees, said Lehman.

Interest rates to consumers and companies may remain high in the next three-six months and 10-year yields will likely stay firm in coming months, the research house added.

Corporate earnings have been affected by higher interest rates, rising raw material costs and high yields, but margins are likely to stabilise in coming quarters in a deflationary commodity environment, Lehman added.

05 Sep 2008 20:33

Seems like India is all set to NOT get the waiver at NSG. This effectively means that this govt. has to not just go out with a red face, its the end of political career of Mr. Manmohan Singh.
Worse than that, it shows India its place in world matters. However proud we may be of our resurgent nation, the world still thinks we are shit.
Wonder how would the stock markets react on Monday. Are we staring at another black Monday on back of more sell off in Europe and US and NSG failure?...

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : lovemeall26

Yes radkhikaji,
After seeing nifty do a topsy turn inspite of the charts showing something else for the past two days, I too feel like throwing TA into the dustbin. Sheer madness going on these days worldwide.
After such a strong rally on tuesday, all TA was showing a higher trajectory, but nope, nifty had other plans. Seems , we will have to overlook TA for a few days and see the market sentiments which are taking more centrestage these days.
lovemeall26

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