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Market View
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After the Securities and Exchange Board of India, or Sebi, announced the removal of limit on participatory notes yesterday, experts were of the view that the move was a step in the right direction, but there would not be immediate Foreign-Institutional Investor (FII) inflows....
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Drastic changes in market pattern
Nifty crossed stop loss
Seems to be going more on lower side.
No chance today for it to come above 3700
Get ready for blood bath....
In reply to:
I T sector breath new oxygen in the market to run after Banking sector.
Posted by :
sp.palo
dear ZB,
today will nifty be able to sustain above 3700-3750 ?
regards
shakti 
Tracked by: 755 Boarders
hi ramesh
good to hear from you
no buys from me except few bartronics.
u r right its agonising looking at pf big losses. but only thing we can do is wait and watch....
In reply to:
Its time to prepare shopping list guys !
Posted by : ultima23
hi sachin, things are going as predicted :( Now below 12k!
I have totally avoided looking at my Pf since it will cause more agony! As my losses more than 3L now! I abs dont know what will happen but still everyone agree that LT is good for our market. All we can do is hope. For time being i will simply wait. But i dont think the global markets can recover from this for a year or two!
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David G Fernandez, Head of Emerging Asia Economic and Sovereign Research at JPMorgan said that Fed is likely to cut rates by at least 50 bps each over the next two meetings. Also, he expects central banks across the world to start easing monetary policies.
...
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i feel for time being nifty must start upward from here,
so tht market can once agn get some breathing n investors enter with confidence for get in trapped, as on higher levels there will be huge selling....
In reply to:
Where do you see the Nifty bottoming out?
Posted by : MMB Messenger
Dear Boarders,Do let us know your views and opinions on the poll.-MMB Messenger
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no investment now........ dont invest...
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NEW YORK: Oil dropped more than 6% to below $88 a barrel on Monday as a global market rout churned concerns that faltering fuel demand could slow further.
US stocks tumbled 6% to the lowest level in nearly five years as part of an international sell-off on fears the global economy was heading into recession.
US crude settled down $6.07 at $87.81 a barrel after hitting an eight-month low of $87.56. London Brent crude fell $6.57 to settle at $83.68 a barrel.
Crude prices have plummeted from a peak over $147 a barrel set on July 11 as high fuel prices and the growing financial crisis slow oil demand in top consumer the United States and other industrialized nations.
"The prevailing macro sentiment is now crystallizing around the notion that we are heading into a synchronized global slowdown, a mirror image of the across-the-board expansion we saw from 2004 to early 2007," said Edward Meir of broker MF Global.
Analysts are watching oil demand from China -- which helped fuel a 6-year rally in commodities -- for signs the crisis is hitting consumption.
The world`s No. 2 consumer will not import gasoline for the second straight month and instead export the fuel due to heavy domestic stockpiles and a dip in demand.
"I think the market`s starting to build this into prices," said Mark Pervan, senior commodities analyst at ANZ. "You would expect the market is now joining the dots and thinking ... this will probably flow through to China."
The US and European governments are trying to underpin the financial sector but so far this has failed to reassure investors.
European shares suffered their worst one-day%age fall on record, sinking to four-year closing lows while trading in Brazil halted after a 15% drop in its benchmark index.
The drop in prices has caused some concern among OPEC members, while analysts are revising down demand outlook projections.
"Definitely there is worry. When the prices are so volatile, like rising to $140 and then dropping to below $90, it worries everybody," said Iraq`s Oil Minister Hussain al-Shahristani.
Ecuadorean Oil Minister Galo Chiriboga said OPEC will analyze the impact of the global financial crisis on oil demand and set production levels in accordance.
Iran said $100 a barrel was too low and urged members to respect their output targets to prevent oversupply from worsening.
OPEC President Chakib Khelil said OPEC would seek to balance the market when it meets in December.
...
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Most worldwide and in India specially finacial analyists, experts pundits are not only blind, deaf and dumb, but also stupid . The simle laws of economics and nature were defied by these persons, to unimaginable levels. This was mainly to satify there collective greed for highr pay and bonusses. Never in the history of world (except) in last 15 years or so, specially in last 5 years executive compensation grown so fast and so much that it dwarfed the interest of the company and shareholders. The govt also bacame party to this. Even the bankrupt LB, wants super severence package for their executives under the bail out plan. This is ridiculous.
Unless companies revert back to modest and reasonable expense on employees, and stop incurring massive CTC for executives, the companies are doomed to bankruptcy in coming days. Too much money in young hands is detrimental to public and economic health.
I cant understand that such simple thing were not understood by the so called graduates from elite institutions and creanm de la cream of the society, that they couldnot forsee the disaster in the offing.
...
In reply to:
Difficult to predict market direction
Posted by : Udayan Mukherjee
The world keeps changing every night and we come back with a completely fresh perspective - so much has changed since the markets closed last evening or yesterday afternoon. The Participatory-note (P-note) regulations have changed; the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has surprisingly cut cash reserve ratio (CRR), global markets continue to tumble though Asia is weathering it a little bit better this morning. So global turmoil, lots of policy changes - it will all go into the melting pot today, who knows what will win; policy action or global turmoil.
On global markets:
These are difficult times, unprecedented times in the global markets and therefore the kind of action that we are seeing is also quite unprecedented. Things are very fluid at this point in time. You do not know what the market will react to this morning, it could easily snap back because of the concerted regulatory action, which is happening or it could continue to drift down along with global markets. So it is a tough call.
We are seeing history unfold in front of our eyes. This is something that we do not see in a decade or a couple of decades, the kind of action that we are seeing in global markets and the way regulators across the world are forced to respond to it to at least keep the patient alive. There is absolutely history unfolding and therefore the less you take in terms of big directional calls in the market, the better because we have no clue of where the situation might land us in finally. It is tough times and absolutely historic times for financial markets around us.
For many markets, it is almost like the hemorrhaging right now?
It is and I suspect that will continue because this is not about small interest rate change and it is not about throwing a little bit money at the system or anything like that. We are probably hurtling towards the global recession not just the US recession at this point in time and the kind of economic distress, which might unfold over the next few quarters, is making everybody very nervous and justifiably so.
So right now you don’t want to get into that, okay inflation at 11.99 so we are fine, Cash reserve Ratio (CRR) down more 50-bps, so we are fine or to get extremely bearish between points and say now the market will go to 8,000 Sensex and the Dow will plunge to 5,000. None of us know what is going to happen. Could any of us have predicted the events that have unfolded in the last 4-5 weeks? The biggest analyst in the world couldn’t have seen of what is going to happen.
We are in unprecedented times and none of us know how things will shape up over the next few weeks and months. It is best to say I don’t understand what is going on; it’s beyond my comprehension completely. I don’t want to stick money into assets and all right now, if I could I would dig it under the ground and sit on it since I can’t do that I just need to be in cash at this point and not be brave trying to fool myself by thinking that I am the best analyst in the world who knows exactly how this thing will pan out. When in doubt just keep your money under the mattress that is always worked in history and that is going to work right now.
Asian Indices:
Asia is okay this morning it is not such a bad picture the Nikkei is down about 2%, Straits Times is actually up 1.5%, China is down 1.5%, so mixed bag but no great sell-off as you have seen across the US market things are little bit calmer out here though they started negatively, the most Asian markets seem to have come-off the morning’s lows.
It’s almost like a vortex situation everyday?
It is and the way things are now capitulating in the West is quite alarming because yesterday Europe was down 8-9% apiece. I do not remember in my memory when European markets fell 8-9% a day, Russia was down 19%. These are indices for large markets which are falling 18-19% a day; it’s not a single midcap stock. So it’s very scary, but the pace at which these markets are falling right now lead you to believe that for the near-term you are probably headed to another intermediate bottom because things do not fall 20% a day for very long. So its getting completely overdone right now, you are seeing the absolute peak of panic, it could last for a day or two sure or maybe in the next 48 hours you will probably see a spike back in the global markets. I know not the best morning to suggest that but it inevitably happens when market falls 7-8% a day.
-Udayan Mukherjee, Managing Editor,CNBC TV18
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Whatyou are speaking dear.Silverline,Arvindmils,tatasteel all were the stocks you gave a call to buy and see today all these stocks are 50-70percent down from your level.Only Shankarsharma,Ramesh damani practised aid what they said publically.Do any retail investors have any money to buy now?Any one can give cal like you without any accountability factor.Operators are short and not long .Elections does not always leads to Teji.HAve guts to say ,I gave wrong call and sorry to all the investors who are suffering because of me....
In reply to:
TURNING AHEAD 30 Sep 08
Posted by : amarakbar
Dear shareviews,
My kind of calculations have worked for me in INDIA till now.
Do you think INVESTORS were responsible for worldmarket fluctuations of 2007 to 2008 period in Metals, USD , stocks , commodities etc !
In ANY market , SPECULATORS and OPERATORS are ALWAYS there.
They make you think what they want to and they trade just in opposite direction.
My view is, Operators are in BUY MODE at present .
Rest is all crap.
They were the ones who had initiated shorts since Oct2007 , they are wise and deserve standing ovation. Now as per my view they have ALREADY covered their shorts, have INCREASED their longs or holdings in the companies they are interested in .
By August 2009 to March 2010 we will have DOUBLE TOP in bse30 index and nifty50 index is VERY PROBABLE POSSIBILITY as per my own personal view based on my limited knowledge on charts.
We may even cross previous tops if enough shorts are created at lower levels by fools.
2 weeks to go now for end of bearish sentiments.
For level crazy readers- 12050, 11600, 11200 for bse 30 index level.
Usually when stocks are available cheap and at attractive rates , and even when there is enough cash available , most investors do not buy anything at all as they are scared.
They buy near tops and then feel sorry.
3 day simple moving average will be good friend who will let you know when you may buy. Any close above 3 day simple moving average now onwards will signal new fresh upmove for the market.
For smart ones - hint- USA and INDIA elections
worst quarterly result announcements will play pivotal and important role.
Thank you all responsible for boarder of the day
warm regards
Vipul Lashkari
Tracked by: 108 Boarders
BSR,
doctors too advice to look at green things. its good for eyes.
And for pockets too.
shakti...
In reply to:
WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000
Posted by : BullSheetRules
Dear sp.palo,
Green looks so good to eyes after so many days!
Let us hope we see that Green at the end of day!
Gud luk & happy investing!
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The RBI move is an well appreciated and timely drive for easing the liquidity presuure. This leads to more cash flow in the market followed by a further weaker Rupee. It may be compensated if there is increase in FII fund flow. Fii will be in an advantageous position in contrast to the domestic ones at this moment because of the weaker rupee. We should take some measure to restrict the FII fund outflow in case if market recovers. There has to be at least 2 year lock in for the FII inflow. If it is not done, FIIs will take money out during that time and the doimestic investors shall be the worst affected and another Mayhem in the Indian stock market can not be ruled out. ...
In reply to:
FIIs, experts unanimously cheer CRR cut
Posted by : MMB Messenger
After the Reserve Bank of India, or RBI, cut the cash-reserve ratio, or CRR, by 50 basis points to 8.5% with effect October 11, in a bid to infuse Rs 20,000 crore into the system, experts are unanimous in their view: the rate cut will ease liquidity in the cash-starved market.
Tracked by: 1 Boarder
Hi BSR,
Mr V. K. Sharma of ANAGRAM Stockbroking had quoted in "The Times of India " a month ago that once crude oil dips below $ 100 people will stop linking/tracking it to the equity markets.
Regards....
In reply to:
At what Nifty level will you invest fresh money?
Posted by : BullSheetRules
Gud to see that ppl understand the underlying human psychology that go in market... true for any market!
Oil has cracked beautifully... well below 90 USD... As always, no BS expert is talking about that now! :)
Gud luk & happy investing! :)
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The RBI move is an well appreciated and timely drive for easing the liquidity presuure. This leads to more cash flow in the market followed by a further weaker Rupee. It may be compensated if there is increase in FII fund flow. Fii will be in an advantageous position in contrast to the domestic ones at this moment because of the weaker rupee. We should take some measure to restrict the FII fund outflow in case if market recovers. There has to be at least 2 year lock in for the FII inflow. If it is not done, FIIs will take money out during that time and the doimestic investors shall be the worst affected and another Mayhem in the Indian stock market can not be ruled out. ...
In reply to:
FIIs, experts unanimously cheer CRR cut
Posted by : MMB Messenger
After the Reserve Bank of India, or RBI, cut the cash-reserve ratio, or CRR, by 50 basis points to 8.5% with effect October 11, in a bid to infuse Rs 20,000 crore into the system, experts are unanimous in their view: the rate cut will ease liquidity in the cash-starved market.
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
After the Reserve Bank of India, or RBI, cut the cash-reserve ratio, or CRR, by 50 basis points to 8.5% with effect October 11, in a bid to infuse Rs 20,000 crore into the system, experts are unanimous in their view: the rate cut will ease liquidity in the cash-starved market....
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Market is going to go down again. There is rumour that many banks in US has these credit issues...
In reply to:
Mkts rebound sharply on CRR cut; Sensex back above 12K
Posted by : MMB Messenger
Markets have bounced back sharply and have managed to recover half of yesterday's loss. Benchmark indices have taken Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) cut positively, where RBI has cut CRR by 50 bps to 8.5% in late evening yesterday.
Poll
Udayan's Market Outlook
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Difficult to predict market direction | |
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| Udayan Mukherjee, Stocks Editor, TV18 | ||
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