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Market View
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
Dear All,
Every one Trades and not all wins , Traders Lose some days and win some days, What makes the perfect tarder ? and How to avoid the trading Mistakes ? here are Few thoughts ( Note: The Thoughts may be taken from some books or from some other trader and some may from own experience ) , experience Traders can share their Views and add some more points.
1) Take Responsiblitity of your trades
2) Never Trade so much
3) If you trade NIFTY you should not be putting More than 25 to 30 Trades in a Year.
4) Never Take a Position in the First 30 Minutes or Last 30 Minutes.
5) Always Plan a trade before you execute
6) When you are in slightest doubt or ask the other person on what to do on the executed trade Immediately come out.
7) Don't see the Prices continuously once your trade fills in.
8) have a Strict Stop Loss ( General Rule is 2% on your Account Money )
9) Never Average your losing position
10) Never Take small profits if there is a More room upside.
11) Never place a Market order.
12) Don't Trade with emotional feelings
13) You must agree you can never beat the market.
14) Develope a strong Psychology
15) Never act on a Freely available information , By the time it reached you the trade would have set in.
16) when you see a SELL from brokerage house on a TV That stock might be falling by about 8 or 10 % only, but the strong upmove may be expected, don't be in short position for long.
17) when you see a BUY Calls Tarde with caution.
Happy Trading.
Boarders are happy to add their views.
...
Tracked by: 3 Boarders
All my predictions did hits the desired targets, except the INFLATION figures.. I predicted yesterday(27/8/08 : time : 2.43 PM) that today(28/8) its NEGATIVE, and may be gap-down, and requested my fans to SELL Nifty Futures, Sept series & book complete profit. Then what happen ??? Instantly after my prediction at 2.43 PM (27/8), NF Sept series did freefalled 40 points & 27/8 itself closed in NEGATIVE figures. So... what happen to... 28/8/08 predictions, NF Sept series ??? Yea... today\\`s (28/8) predictions did hits with 100% accuracy. Yea, deadly accurate.... NF sept opened slightly gap-down & did trades in NEGATIVE territory. Today(28/8), again I predicted the lack of participation of FII, MF & other Institutional Investors, because of low volume. What happen ??? Yea, they won\\`t participate, and that\\`s why today\\`s(28/8) NF trades most its time upto 2.30 PM in a narrow trading range. Then I predicted, they will participate today itself, at Final trading hours. And it did hits with 100% accuracy. After 2.30 PM , our market nose-dived to deep deep RED, instantly, and it shows... their strong participation. I\\`m not in any Nifty futures positions, already booked complete profit yesterday(27/8) itself. But my inflation expectation between 12.63 & 12.80 fails. Yea, Inflation at 12.40 levels. Not only me , but everybody did expect inflation at 12.77 levels, including CNBC poll. Now coming to the point, our\\`s some calculations goes dangerously wrong, regarding Inflation. That\\`s why, everybody went wrong. But its O.K. Its good for Indian Capital Market\\`s strong bounce back to positive territory, everybody loves to hear this positive news. But here come\\`s MALAYALI\\`s point, WHAT HAPPEN TODAY (28/8/08) AFTER 3.05 PM, BEFORE MARKET CLOSE : NF SEPT SERIES ??? Everybody look closly, the technicals of NF Sept Series, you can see it... its crystal clearly visible : *****THE FOUL-PLAY. Yea, the foul-play. Look at the strong BUY volumes building up just after 3.05 PM. What\\`s positive in the market, after 3.05 PM & before 3.30 PM ??? NOTHING. NOTHING. NOTHING. But, huge buy volume created instantly, a clean BUY, a clean BIG Investors participation, just after 3.05 PM ??? yea, its foul-play. Each & everybody believes INFLATION will raise. But what really happen... its deep down from 12.63 to 12.40 :- and *ITS *OUR(RETAIL INVESTORE) *STRONG *POSITIVE *NEWS *AFTER *MARKET *CLOSE... *AND *ITS *THEIR(BIG INVESTORS) *STRONG *POSITIVE *NEWS *TO *TRADE *FOR *TOMORROW... *TODAY *ITSELF *JUST *AFTER *3.05PM. How they(big investors) get this information, that inflation will come down, after market close ??? *****YEA *****ITS *****LEAKED *****FROM *****OUR *****REPUTED *****DEPARTMENTS. We the retail investors are cheated by the wholesale investors. MALAYALI requesting moneycontrol : do something. Please help us. MALAYALI : always with my fans...
In reply to:
NIFTY = 4750 & SENSEX = 15000
Posted by :
MALAYALI
FII, MF & other Institutional Investors are not participating. That\\`s why, LOW VOLUMES. Why they\\`ar not participating ??? Lack of participation,... because of uncertain raising Inflation worries, Bullish Crude & F&O expiry(Aug). When will they participate ??? They will participate from today itself. Today\\`s Final trading hours looks crutial. So... now, Who\\`s participating ??? We the innocent Retail Investors are participating, without any idea. MALAYAL requesting all his fans to stay away from this market. Not be in any positions. Can\\`t predict. Today\\`s final trading hours looks crutial. I\\`m expecting Inflation between *****ABOVE 12.63 and *****BELOW 12.80. And its only an expectation. Can\\`t predict with 100% accuracy. I\\`m confused. Normally, confusion = volatility, and, Volatility ends, in selling pressure. MALAYALI : confused trader 
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
Mr mktbear.... what turned you bull 2day all of sudden....... lets hope its a good gap 2maro........ hey I have weird feeling about icici bank.... she is behaving like a yo yo 2much....
In reply to:
bounce back tommorow
Posted by : marketbear
Market may bounce back tommorow very sharply. Sensex may add at least 500 points tommorow on the back of positive global as well domestic news. Banking stocks are likely to zoom tommorow. Stocks to outperform tommorow will be ICICI Bank, PNB, SBI, Bank of India, HDFC Bank, HDFC, Reliance Infra , BHEL, Larsen, SAIL, Tata Steel, Power Grid, Tata Power and the list will be endless. Investors are adviced not to enter Reliance at these levels as Reliance is in a risk zone. Let it stabilise first to make a entry into stock. Stocks like Reliance, Reliance Petro, RIIL are to be strictly avoided for trading tommorow and on later days
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
gv,only a line from your message
ICICI will have lessor customers over a period now
1 defaulters of credit card will not visit
2QAB increased from 5000 to all the customers from 1st august,2008
3most of the staff is leaving for better options
4 staff incentives are being regulated so no +ve sign on this front too
5 two wheele loans stpped
charges on cash dropped in cheque's collection boxes even if its for repayment of credit card bills
6 negative sentiments n rumours flating in the mkt about its future
With all these factors,the bank may lose heavily in business...
In reply to:
28th July
Posted by : gv
Yes your right the averages are decreasing,But over all revenue increase
seen
another area is petrol consumption increasing not talking about diesel
In spite of tight financing,the 2 wheeler and car ales are not showing significant low numbers
In spite of increase in food prices,the mid size restaurants are doing busy bussines
Number of students join professional courses are higher to previous years
People are moving out of cable to DTH,numbers are showing
Housing loan has come down,may be people don't want to put money for long term
Remember Pay commission money is going to come soon
Today i visited ICICI both Dmat section and trade section are empty
My friend at bank told me credit card defaults slightly increased
So the scene is bit confusing to me,to take a call
Regds
GV
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
actually Rn
everything is pointing to an uptrend... this i cannot explain as a TA for i dont know your terminology, but my visuals of the stocks and their cyclic move has been broken... this idicates somthing different s about to happen... the trend will change... I AM HOPING FOR AN UPTREND but a possibility of it going down exists too... but it wont be a drifting.. it,ll be quite obvious when it happens.. i dont forsee a sideways movement anymore...
im know to wrong more frequently than right... but this is what i think......
In reply to:
28th July
Posted by : radhika_nandlal
NIFTY: Bearish as far as trend following indicators MACD, ADX go, but the immediate term indicator Elder Ray's bull power and bear says Nifty is bullish and thats something becoz we lost considerably during the last hour of trade. The TRIN is oversold at 0.9 and even if it reflects some shorts, they may not get covered immediately becoz global cues are tepid. We could be volatile and rangebound, lackluster for most part of the day but could spurt anytime becoz of the elder ray indications. I would go long at lows. The MACD buy divergence disappeared with the 3:30 data based on which i bought one 5300 CE but it was present with the 3:15 data.
DOWJONES:Looks bullish per trend following indicators MACD and ADX. The Elder Ray too indicates bullishness as the bull power has increased as compared to 26th July and the bear power has a less negative value indicating bearishness fizzling out. The TRINS are in keeping with the rise and fall from highs. Nothing much to rea off the TRIN
CRUDE: Very very mixed and so could be volatile. For one the ADX has ticked up massively which is scary and very bullish. The MACD too says buy crude, so trend following indicators are bullish on crude. The Elder Ray too is bullish. But the RSI for the second day in a row says SELL CRUDE and there is distribution for the second day in a row which is bearish. Selling on rallies will be the trend in crude today.
FNO Cues: Only september FNO cues are worth tracking now but i need two more days of data to get study the pattern. Give fno cues a miss during expiry and in the first few days of the new contract.
Tracked by: 2 Boarders
lucky you o.t
i dont believe in overlevearging .. and invariable that happens unless you are very discipilined, in fno segment..and im quite certain you are disciplined, and meticulous.
thanks
rits...
In reply to:
Option positions taken-OT
Posted by : Oldtimer
Hi N Owl,
Sorry about your bad day. :( I have no idea of specific counters - I usually go in for Nifty FnO and that too I have covered strategies - so that I dont have to worry about market direction.
OT
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
you are....goodies... from gujarat... goodies..goodies... you guys are phenomenol... please keep me informed... i believe you... i think we,re about to break out too... my reasons are very simple... i hold a lot of stock... i mean varietywise... they dropped to their support levels today... not likely to be broken.. therefore we have to turn back now.... besideds this is a gut feel i have.. very instictive.... not normally wrong... you know i sold my mundra today.. as i was srill in profit..ive been feeling silly about it cos i know it can go much higher... shall i rebuy??...
In reply to:
10....9....8....Countdown on for.CRUCIAL
Posted by : amarakbar
Dear nightowl,
Jai shree krishna.
Adani and mundra belong to same group- they have good FUTURE ahead - my view is HOLD and add more in any panic if at all panic happens, i very much doubt any BEARISH period as we are at CRUCIAL PROBABLE UPWARD BREAKOUT POINT.
I am from Gujarat , have little better idea about groups of Gujarat.
Your investments are good, just give them 2 to 3 years to yield results,
warm regards
Vipul Lashkari
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
Radhikaji,
Inflation at 12.4 is very soothing.Today Latha with her loud speach is not seen.Where is she hiding today.Udyan and Latha are not amused today with lowering of inflation.Let us hope your excel is bullish for tomorrow....
In reply to:
28th July
Posted by : radhika_nandlal
jatt,
as mentioned in my TA for today, oil shows both bullishness and bearishness and see both playing out.. oil was high at 120 one point and now 114.... RSI said sell two days in a row, distribution two days in a row both bearish and one knew the high price wont sustain... so if it goes up short, if it comes down go long... thats the beauty of mixed indications.. play both ways... you trade oil?
Tracked by: 3 Boarders
Dear Malayali,
What about your Long Positions in NIFTY , are you still carrying them?
Regards
Aru...
In reply to:
NIFTY = 4750 & SENSEX = 15000
Posted by : MALAYALI
FII, MF & other Institutional Investors are not participating. That\\`s why, LOW VOLUMES. Why they\\`ar not participating ??? Lack of participation,... because of uncertain raising Inflation worries, Bullish Crude & F&O expiry(Aug). When will they participate ??? They will participate from today itself. Today\\`s Final trading hours looks crutial. So... now, Who\\`s participating ??? We the innocent Retail Investors are participating, without any idea. MALAYAL requesting all his fans to stay away from this market. Not be in any positions. Can\\`t predict. Today\\`s final trading hours looks crutial. I\\`m expecting Inflation between *****ABOVE 12.63 and *****BELOW 12.80. And its only an expectation. Can\\`t predict with 100% accuracy. I\\`m confused. Normally, confusion = volatility, and, Volatility ends, in selling pressure. MALAYALI : confused trader
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
CRUDE oil is moved down to 114.75 Now ( down 3.40 $)and DOW rallied 172 Now..so I think we are going to have a positive effect tomorrow
Regards
Aru...
In reply to:
DOW on the surge
Posted by :
sankarantpr
DJ surged by 100 points to 11602 ponis
U.S. gross domestic product grew by 3.3% in the second quarter - much more than previously stated. Economists say the economic stimulus package contributed to the rise.
The number of out-of-work Americans who signed up for jobless benefits fell for the third week in a row, matching economists' expectations.
The Department of Labor reported Thursday that initial filings for state jobless benefits decreased by 10,000 to a seasonally adjusted 425,000 in the week ended Aug. 23.
But the OIL is moving up towards $119
The inflation number is 12.40% in India
below the expectations of the market.
It may have a postive effect tomarrow
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
zb
thanks for your sincere appreciation
if i am not mistaken, you got a treble promotion from newbie to platinium!...
In reply to:
Bullion metals register little losses
Posted by : zoombusiness
Sir
its a computer problem ..clicked 3 times
I am trying to delete it
thanks
I also just saw it.
I like your language ..I can understand you with your language.
I appreciate your english knowledge
Regards
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
Hi,
I have lost 3.3 K Inclusive of Brokerage in 4300 AUG CE, To made up this as per the CNBC Rajat Bose Reco I have bought one Mini Nifty at 4226, and since I'm tracking reliance industries I bought one Lot at 2080 ( SEP ), I have learned one more lesson, I had 4300 PE ( 6 lots at the average of 25 few days back ) but eventually squared with some profit, so next time if I buy any option call and risking some amount I should not touch that what ever the volatility and let the market play out.
Market is the great teacher.
Regards
Aru...
In reply to:
28th July
Posted by : radhika_nandlal
how sad that i bought only one lot of minifty... i do have one call 4300 CE september series so the two should more than wipe out losses today.. i bought the 4300 Sept CE for Rs 145 i guess and the minifty for Rs 4238... what about you?
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
The Vaddodara based 20 Micros Limited is coming up with an IPO Rs.50-55 opens on 8th Sept. Appears to be good...
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
Hi,
Pl read this,we have big opportunity in India
"I believe the next decade will give us fantastic investment opportunities in fixing the world's creaky infrastructure. From roads and bridges to water and power supply... there's trillions of dollars that are going to be spent. Matt Simmons, the oft-quoted energy analyst, likes to say, "Rust never sleeps."
The whole oil and gas infrastructure is a "vast spider web of steel." There are over 335,000 miles of pipelines in the U.S. alone. There are hundreds of refineries in the world, as well as thousands of tank farms, gas stations, and oil and gas wells.
Such infrastructure requires a lot of maintenance, which is not cheap. On the heels of two decades of low oil prices, much of the industry deferred a lot of maintenance. As Simmons says: "The entire value chain is built of steel. Steel begins to corrode the day it is cast."
The risk of failure – of leaks or breakages – is high. "If the world wants to continue using energy, its assets need to be rebuilt. Simple law of nature," Simmons says. "The construction job will rival the combination of building the World War II war machine, the Marshall Plan rebuilding of Europe, and the post-World War II Interstate Highway System."
Here's one example, just a snippet of the infrastructure the industry is building: Shell is putting together a $1.5 trillion energy project in the Middle East – a massive gas-to-liquids plant in Qatar. It is as large as 450 football fields. It will require 300,000 tons of steel and employ 35,000 workers.
All the while, the prices of steel, cement, copper, etc., continue to rise. People, too, are hard to find, like parking spaces in Manhattan. It's a massive opportunity. The offshore boom only adds to the urgency of it all.
The Most Important Infrastructure Trend in the World Today
An Extraordinary Income Opportunity in the Energy Market
Developing economies like India, Russia, and China are using up lots of steel pipe, cement, and energy. Pipeline investments are just one of the exciting angles here. My readers have more than doubled their money on Northwest Pipe, one of the leading pipe makers in America. The companies that build offshore energy infrastructure also look cheap right now.
My message to all investors is: Make sure to own some investments on this theme. The demand here is enormous. The returns should be as well.
Good investing,
Chris Mayer...
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
Hi,
Pls read this
"Acknowledging that many investors see weaker oil prices as bullish, Marc Faber says lower oil prices actually signal that the global economy has entered recession.
"I think that what has happened is that starting in the fall of last year, the U.S. trade and current accounts were diminishing rapidly. It led to a tightening of global liquidity, (and) foreign official dollar reserves were not growing at the same pace as before," the managing director of Marc Faber Ltd. and publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report told Bloomberg.
"Whenever liquidity tightens, it leads to poor markets but is very dollar-supportive. Weak demand in the U.S., lower imports, and the demand for oil also declining led to a tightening of global liquidity," Faber explains.
That's why Faber isn't buying stocks now, he's buying dollars.
– NewsMax
...
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