Market Analysis - Technical View

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Posted by : TrueCompanion

gunslinger :

A portfolio manager who invests in extremely risky stocks in hopes of high returns.

05.09.2008

I better put an end to my predictions

Posted by : Guest

Dear RN,
Are you gonna ride your puts for monday or square off today?

Regards

I better put an end to my predictions

Posted by : Ramki

Hey radhika......I think the market is searching for only negative factors and shrugging off all the positive factors......For example despite the improved inflation numbers and oil price not climbing there is no reason today market should dip........Our markets have foolishly taken the dow and nasdaq cues for today's dip......Regards

2nd September

Posted by : eshers

Returns from selling used paper has also increased, not sure about the one used for Bondas though..LOL.. You are so true, RBI interest rates has nothing to do with the market rates.. PLR's are double the RBI rates and deposit rates are way higher..

IF the current Power cuts in TN continues for few more months or spreads to other states, our crude imports could go up substanitally.. Rupee depreciation didnt really help the drop in crude.. Macro's arent looking great.. i feel markets could be range-bound till elections may be..

Cheers

2nd September

Posted by : radhika_nandlal

NIFTY: The MACD fast line is still below the slow line which is bearish and hence a SELL per my excel, but dont take that SELL literally, you see the MACD histo has ticked up and a MACD histo up tick is actually bullish BUT the ADX continues to tick down and thats bearish. While the bull power and bear power of ELDER RAY favor bulls, the TRIN is so oversold at 1.6, which means ystday's shortcovering rally was used to sell. Net net mixed cues so expect some dull volatility in a tight range...While shortcovering was going on ystday the selling was not apparent. I would maintain a bearish view on account of tick down in ADX and the bearish TRIN with tepid global cues. But not after noon. When FTSE opens i will go long coz dow is very bullish as mentioned in ystday's analysis. We however are closed tomorrow so a bullish dow TODAY will not mean much to us and besides and i cannot predict dow for wednesday coz i dont have today's cues yet. If Dow closes flat tomorrow and we carry ove our position to thursday it could be risky. So i would go long at lows and if there is a chance book profits i would book profits today. What do you all suggest? Anyone can share their views? Or its a soliloquy each morning here. LOL

Nothing to write about dow or crude USO which i track as their markets were closed ystday and my analysis given ystday is what i would keep in mind... let me check FNO cues.

I better put an end to my predictions

Posted by : Ramki

Hey radhika......I think the market is searching for only negative factors and shrugging off all the positive factors......For example despite the improved inflation numbers and oil price not climbing there is no reason today market should dip........Our markets have foolishly taken the dow and nasdaq cues for today's dip......Regards

Ewt Alert: Nifty watch 4360- 4325

Posted by : sam_pd

This level has worked like charm.ewt simply rocks again.

I better put an end to my predictions

Posted by : radhika_nandlal

Thanks guys for being nice to me... i have gone wrong the whole of this week, so no more predictions. Something is troubling the markets and indications are mixed and confusing. Its better to stay out of prediction games for now. LOL

Ewt Alert: Nifty watch 4360- 4325

Posted by : sam_pd

Nifty levels to watch 4360- 4325

2nd September

Posted by : periwinkle

Sam, don\\`t corrupt that innocent boy there....and please put up the photos...how old are they now...

2nd September

Posted by : periwinkle

Sam, don\\`t corrupt that innocent boy there....and please put up the photos...how old are they now...

2nd September

Posted by : Callahan

Hmmm... The 10 bondas are the 10 boxer pups... Now who would use these used papers !!! Ha HA Ha Ha Ha... ROFL...

BTW in Bangalore when there were power cuts the queue used to be about 300 meters long !!! I expect the low to be hit early part of next year... It seems CONgress think tank wants elections end of year... Then maybe more hotch potch... And then the big slide... Looks like technically u can predict the election results !!! LOL...

2nd September

Posted by : eshers

Returns from selling used paper has also increased, not sure about the one used for Bondas though..LOL.. You are so true, RBI interest rates has nothing to do with the market rates.. PLR's are double the RBI rates and deposit rates are way higher..

IF the current Power cuts in TN continues for few more months or spreads to other states, our crude imports could go up substanitally.. Rupee depreciation didnt really help the drop in crude.. Macro's arent looking great.. i feel markets could be range-bound till elections may be..

Cheers

2nd September

Posted by : Callahan

Bondas need lotsa paper... They have used up about a tonne... LOL... So while getting the paper down I happened to see the headlines... And then inflation and then the ads on interest... That formed the basis for the write up... But what surprised me was we are at a lower interest rate at 12.5% inflation than 4.25 !!! RBI rates don't affect the common man... Who deals directly with Banks... These days I see even guys delivering milk on bikes !!! And even Autos !!! No wonder crude is at such high level and 100 is considered cheap !!! Guess soon beggars will be in cars... and we could have crude at 200+... What Goldman Sachs analyst claims... Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha... ROFL...