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Moneycontrol.com >> Messageboard >> Category >> Market View >> Market Analysis - Technical View
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28 Aug 2008 22:23

Why not start a new thread for each day. This posting for 28/08/2008 on the thread called 28th.July is confusing.
So rn what about 29/08/2008 ?
Cheers !!!
j....

In reply to:

28th July

Posted by : radhika_nandlal

jatt,

as mentioned in my TA for today, oil shows both bullishness and bearishness and see both playing out.. oil was high at 120 one point and now 114.... RSI said sell two days in a row, distribution two days in a row both bearish and one knew the high price wont sustain... so if it goes up short, if it comes down go long... thats the beauty of mixed indications.. play both ways... you trade oil?

28 Aug 2008 22:18

Yes your right the averages are decreasing,But over all revenue increase
seen
another area is petrol consumption increasing not talking about diesel
In spite of tight financing,the 2 wheeler and car ales are not showing significant low numbers
In spite of increase in food prices,the mid size restaurants are doing busy bussines
Number of students join professional courses are higher to previous years
People are moving out of cable to DTH,numbers are showing
Housing loan has come down,may be people don't want to put money for long term
Remember Pay commission money is going to come soon
Today i visited ICICI both Dmat section and trade section are empty
My friend at bank told me credit card defaults slightly increased
So the scene is bit confusing to me,to take a call
Regds
GV

...

In reply to:

28th July

Posted by : novice1000

dear gv,

There are two things one has to look at.

1)Taking a mobile connection is the cheapest compared to many other expenses these days.

2)Atleast some of the new connections might just be the change overs (just a possibility which cant be ruled out) to new service providers or change of numbers.

regards

PS: Hope you are aware about the declining average revenues per connection.

28 Aug 2008 22:16

Market may bounce back tommorow very sharply. Sensex may add at least 500 points tommorow on the back of positive global as well domestic news. Banking stocks are likely to zoom tommorow. Stocks to outperform tommorow will be ICICI Bank, PNB, SBI, Bank of India, HDFC Bank, HDFC, Reliance Infra , BHEL, Larsen, SAIL, Tata Steel, Power Grid, Tata Power and the list will be endless. Investors are adviced not to enter Reliance at these levels as Reliance is in a risk zone. Let it stabilise first to make a entry into stock. Stocks like Reliance, Reliance Petro, RIIL are to be strictly avoided for trading tommorow and on later days...

28 Aug 2008 22:09

Let me crack a joke now..... can you call yahoo to to move the top chart line higher as Dow wants to go higher.....lol...

In reply to:

28th July

Posted by : radhika_nandlal

jatt,

as mentioned in my TA for today, oil shows both bullishness and bearishness and see both playing out.. oil was high at 120 one point and now 114.... RSI said sell two days in a row, distribution two days in a row both bearish and one knew the high price wont sustain... so if it goes up short, if it comes down go long... thats the beauty of mixed indications.. play both ways... you trade oil?

28 Aug 2008 22:04

No I don,t trade oil..... I do trade usd.... I think smart traders will sell into this hype of oil bi friday,s close...... lets c..........

In reply to:

28th July

Posted by : radhika_nandlal

jatt,

as mentioned in my TA for today, oil shows both bullishness and bearishness and see both playing out.. oil was high at 120 one point and now 114.... RSI said sell two days in a row, distribution two days in a row both bearish and one knew the high price wont sustain... so if it goes up short, if it comes down go long... thats the beauty of mixed indications.. play both ways... you trade oil?

28 Aug 2008 21:37

jatt,

as mentioned in my TA for today, oil shows both bullishness and bearishness and see both playing out.. oil was high at 120 one point and now 114.... RSI said sell two days in a row, distribution two days in a row both bearish and one knew the high price wont sustain... so if it goes up short, if it comes down go long... thats the beauty of mixed indications.. play both ways... you trade oil?...

In reply to:

28th July

Posted by : pkjattking

the storm brewing in gulf of Mexico will b over bi monday........ speculators will b left holding the bag when its over..n done with... however it seems like market makers want to take the our mkt for a bit of a ride.............. which is healthy in short term....... play defensive.... now ...ok.......

28 Aug 2008 21:31

dear gv,

There are two things one has to look at.

1)Taking a mobile connection is the cheapest compared to many other expenses these days.

2)Atleast some of the new connections might just be the change overs (just a possibility which cant be ruled out) to new service providers or change of numbers.

regards

PS: Hope you are aware about the declining average revenues per connection....

In reply to:

28th July

Posted by : gv

Dear novice,
You summed up nicely
But-I am not able to reconcile the increase in number of new Mobile connections
Month after month
Regds
GV

28 Aug 2008 21:09

Nifty may be hovering around 4250 and 4500. It is expected to close around 4450 - 4500....

In reply to:

Where do you see the Nifty in September?

Posted by : MMB Messenger

Dear Boarders,Do let us know your views and opinions on the poll.-MMB Messenger

28 Aug 2008 21:01

the storm brewing in gulf of Mexico will b over bi monday........ speculators will b left holding the bag when its over..n done with... however it seems like market makers want to take the our mkt for a bit of a ride.............. which is healthy in short term....... play defensive.... now ...ok....... ...

In reply to:

28th July

Posted by : radhika_nandlal

we are lucky, inflation numbers good.. our minnifty should fetch us good profit if crude behaves and GDP is good.. when is the GDP number going to be released?

28 Aug 2008 20:49

Dear novice,
You summed up nicely
But-I am not able to reconcile the increase in number of new Mobile connections
Month after month
Regds
GV...

In reply to:

28th July

Posted by : novice1000

dear pitquote,

Hats off to you.You have touched the crux of the problem.

Though i am not aware about the official numbers which you mentioned, i have been watching the ground level scenario very carefully and it clearly shows how the purchasing power has been shrinking over the years.

In fact the process of shirking started in the year 2005 and it peaked in the year 2008.And it would take a couple of years to recoup and to see some improvement in the purchasing power of the lower segment of the middle class and the lower class.

That is the reason i clearly mentioned in many msgs in the recent past \\` though markets raise temporarily for the time being, it is difficult to see those levels on a sustainable basis \\`.

Next one or two years ( basing on how crude prices pan out in the next 3 to 6 months), investments in stock markets have to be very stock specific.

While the investors are worried about their investments, lower segment of the society is really struggling hard to cope with higher cost of living.

regards

28 Aug 2008 20:34

how sad that i bought only one lot of minifty... i do have one call 4300 CE september series so the two should more than wipe out losses today.. i bought the 4300 Sept CE for Rs 145 i guess and the minifty for Rs 4238... what about you?...

In reply to:

28th July

Posted by : vam_aru

Inflation eases to 12.4% on drop in fuel, power prices ( From NDTVProfit dot com )

US GDP is come at around 3.3 % ,Good rate considering the economic conditions, and The US markets are rallying now.

for our markets Inflation is the key, so tomorrow we should be seeing good rally in banking, Cap goods , and Infrastructure stocks ( as RBI will not Intervene with rates again for now )

Regards

Aru


28 Aug 2008 20:31

Inflation eases to 12.4% on drop in fuel, power prices ( From NDTVProfit dot com )

US GDP is come at around 3.3 % ,Good rate considering the economic conditions, and The US markets are rallying now.

for our markets Inflation is the key, so tomorrow we should be seeing good rally in banking, Cap goods , and Infrastructure stocks ( as RBI will not Intervene with rates again for now )

Regards

Aru


...

In reply to:

28th July

Posted by : radhika_nandlal

we are lucky, inflation numbers good.. our minnifty should fetch us good profit if crude behaves and GDP is good.. when is the GDP number going to be released?

28 Aug 2008 20:24

dear deepak,

You seem to be quite a balanced investor.If time permits have a look at Apollo hospitals.

The next wave of outsourcing is going to be in the area of 3rd phase of clinical trials which requires access to huge number of patients.

Apollo with its wider presence is very well poised to catch up the opportunities in that space.

This field is still in the infancy stage and is likely to witness very good growth in the years to come.And those who have the investment horizon of 5 years or so can start picking that scrip on a SIP basis, whenever market tanks.

regards

...

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600

Posted by : d_k

dear novice1000,
Fortis Healthcare may be a good stock in that case if purchased below Rs. 65.
regards
deepak

28 Aug 2008 20:11

DJ surged by 100 points to 11602 ponis
U.S. gross domestic product grew by 3.3% in the second quarter - much more than previously stated. Economists say the economic stimulus package contributed to the rise.

The number of out-of-work Americans who signed up for jobless benefits fell for the third week in a row, matching economists' expectations.

The Department of Labor reported Thursday that initial filings for state jobless benefits decreased by 10,000 to a seasonally adjusted 425,000 in the week ended Aug. 23.

But the OIL is moving up towards $119

The inflation number is 12.40% in India
below the expectations of the market.

It may have a postive effect tomarrow...

28 Aug 2008 19:58

It has been a quiet day so far as expiry days go. Yes, it has been a bit volatile but nothing unusually so or unduly so. About a 100-points down on the Sensex now, which is nothing very significant. The Nifty has given up some more ground after losing 45-points yesterday. ...

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