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Market Analysis - Technical View
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Market strategy :
Since 16k-17k broke down on Sensex the view was consistent to exit and wait for 14k-12.5k zones for investment. Again after the accumulation the view was to exit at 15k + .
Yet again the view has been consistent to buy in stock specific in small lots from 13k-11.2k. Although this would be easy for people who have been following the views strictly and for others the pain in markets could get unbearable as of now.
This is a time only for investors who have patience and do pick up good quality stocks with due research done. As it happens in euphoria stocks can stay at highly overvalued levels for quite some time similarly in pessimism and panics lot of stocks can stay much lower then fair value. So best way to go is buy in small lots and go staggered as its very difficult to spot an exact bottom in panics. 11200-12200 is a good zone to buy stock specific and look to book them partially on profits of 15-25 % to keep a good cash level . One should not commit more then 50 % at 11900-13k and add only at 11200-11500 if it comes or wait . For people those who are stuck can commit fresh money at 11500 or roundabouts only with a view to exit on 25 % gains and lock that money out as part of discipline and consider it fresh money !!! .
For traders this may not be the best time as volatility will be very high and one needs to play with strict stops and agility.
For more search Nooresh on google.....
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Sensex Technical View :
Finally Sensex breaks below the 12300-12500 level and is well set towards the zone of 11200/11500/11900. Sensex is in the panic selling zone and should soon see support coming around the lower end of the channel at 11200 -11500 zone . The levels are important on closing basis for near term. Although it is very difficult to spot an exact short term bottom in current conditions but technically would expect it to be between 11200-11900 from where markets could bounce back in a bear rally which can be to the extent of 20-25% from lows technically. This is a technical view only and doesnt consider other factors !
Even if technically one expects a fall to 9500-9700 Sensex needs a bear rally to an extent of 20 % from lows. The exact levels for the bear rally can be discussed once we can confirm a bottom in the current zone.
For charts and more details search Nooresh on Google... ...
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Dear shakti,
Thanks for the advice.regards...
In reply to:
HELP HELP HELP !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Posted by :
sp.palo
mohanji,
i would go for BHEL, NTPC and SBI ( below 1400) . These stocks look good for medium term. you can accumulate RIL around 1600 .
regards
shakti 
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Leasing finance :
A method of acquiring business equipment without capital outlay. the bank or finance company buys the equipment and leases it to the customer, in return for regular rental payments for the duration of the lease period.
TC-071008-S-01...
In reply to:
< Enhance Stock Knowledge Skills >
Posted by : TrueCompanion
Trickle down :
The process whereby the economic gains from economic growth pass down throughout the entire society eventually giving rise to development.
TC-061008-S-01
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mohanji,
i would go for BHEL, NTPC and SBI ( below 1400) . These stocks look good for medium term. you can accumulate RIL around 1600 .
regards
shakti...
In reply to:
HELP HELP HELP !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Posted by :
mohanji
Dear shakti,
Thanks for your encouraging words.can I have your five pics in order of priority for cash purchase?Regards
Tracked by: 11 Boarders
Sir,
What is this slingshot straddle?...I had heard about sligshot Carbine Rifles.Can you please explain it.regards...
In reply to:
I better put an end to my predictions
Posted by :
winwath
Rudra bro.
U ever heard of the term `slingshot stradle" ? sent you a private e mail - hopefully it is clear. let me have your views on that. It has worked wonders for me in the US market as well as here in India.
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Dear shakti,
Thanks for your encouraging words.can I have your five pics in order of priority for cash purchase?Regards...
In reply to:
HELP HELP HELP !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Posted by : sp.palo
dear mohanji,
its good that you are in cash and should be smiling with courage. markets are nearing its bottom. you can start building your portfolio gradually. select good stocks with good fundamentals and accumulate. My personal view is that you can deploy 50% of your cash at present levels.
regards
shakti
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Dear lalit,
why are you after Kalidas ? Let him do this own things.
please dont mind. You cannot change one`s nature by telling or yelling with anger, not even your son`s. try it.
Better to adjust with others.Life is a series of adjustments even if you dont like it. This is what i have learnt.
Hope for better markets in coming days.
regards
shakti ...
In reply to:
3600 gone , what NEXT ? 2755 or 4405?
Posted by : Lalitdeshpandey
raj_tibs,
HATS OFF....
You are Interested boarder.
APES.... Most on MMB are APES... Only one expert.kalidas whopredicted sensex rally of 2400 points on 26 tha morning.
still arguing with me.
Help yaar.. I have to catch flight in next hour.
Please reply him on that thread of RALLY 2400 point.
Love you,
bye...
Where is the BOTTOM ? Sensex-10587/Nifty-3177
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Dear Friends,
In recent past we have seen diper correction in Chines market. I have studied Investment strategy of FIIS in emerging markets during last 18 Months.
CORRECTION In INDIAN MARKET MAY END FOLLOWING LEVELS OF INDICES :
Sensex : may fall to 10587
Nifty : may fall to 3177.
This is the levels we can think buying with long view. Time will tell us. We shall also look into our Economic growth data also in parity with Global cues.
Thanx,
LALIT....
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Dear Rashmi,
I do not think this is the time to buy straddles... I think best to buy Dec calls... Dec 4000 call trading around 140.. I think that is a good buy... If the markets fall further tomorrow, buy a suitable Dec call (that costs between 120-140). The upside i would look at is at least 100 %....
In reply to:
3600 gone , what NEXT ? 2755 or 4405?
Posted by : rashmi26
dear raj,
if i buy a straddle tomorrow what are the risks and what can be the max profit.also how much will i need to deploy fr one straddle of 3700 or 3600
pl reply ,regds
rashmi
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Well OK RT, if you like it that way !
Regards....
In reply to:
3600 gone , what NEXT ? 2755 or 4405?
Posted by : raj_tibs
TC,
Please do not call me SIR!
Regards,
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dear raj,
if i buy a straddle tomorrow what are the risks and what can be the max profit.also how much will i need to deploy fr one straddle of 3700 or 3600
pl reply ,regds
rashmi...
In reply to:
3600 gone , what NEXT ? 2755 or 4405?
Posted by : raj_tibs
Step 1: Instal a dartboard
Step 2: Secure the darts safely in your hand
Step 3: Blindflod yourself real tight (mae sure not a single ray of light can reach you)
Step 4: Take a blind shot at the dartboard
Result: You will beat the median expert poll with a proability of 0.793 :-)
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Neither an ape nor an expert. So no interest in the outcome of the dart.. Want to make money.. period :-)...
In reply to:
3600 gone , what NEXT ? 2755 or 4405?
Posted by : Lalitdeshpandey
Just repeat your prediction tomorrow!!!!!!!!
I assure you of proving little correct . Change 1700 Points.
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Just repeat your prediction tomorrow!!!!!!!!
I assure you of proving little correct . Change 1700 Points....
In reply to:
3600 gone , what NEXT ? 2755 or 4405?
Posted by : raj_tibs
Lalit,
Even i predicted a rally of 2000-2400 points last week.... So.. bad luck!
Have a nice flight!
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Lalit,
Even i predicted a rally of 2000-2400 points last week.... So.. bad luck!
Have a nice flight!...
In reply to:
3600 gone , what NEXT ? 2755 or 4405?
Posted by : Lalitdeshpandey
raj_tibs,
HATS OFF....
You are Interested boarder.
APES.... Most on MMB are APES... Only one expert.kalidas whopredicted sensex rally of 2400 points on 26 tha morning.
still arguing with me.
Help yaar.. I have to catch flight in next hour.
Please reply him on that thread of RALLY 2400 point.
Love you,
bye...
