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Moneycontrol >> Messageboard >> Market View >> Market Analysis - Technical View
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Market Analysis - Technical View

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05 Sep 2008 10:38

RN,

I have taken the premium money advantage and entered in to one more PUT backspread of SELLING one 4600 PE, at 277, and BUY 2*4300 at 106 ( ie 212 ) so pocketed the difference of 61 * 50, using this premium money bought one more 4500 CE at 73.

Let's see How it goes...

Regards
Aru




...

In reply to:

I better put an end to my predictions

Posted by : radhika_nandlal

I bought one more call..... one step at a time lol.. 4500 call at Rs 71

05 Sep 2008 10:31

Nifty Fut Tgt 4457..................

05 Sep 2008 10:05

Bought Nifty futures :-) Lets see if the market listens to us or does it behave like normal, which is the opposite of our positions ..LOL.....

In reply to:

I better put an end to my predictions

Posted by : radhika_nandlal

I bought one more call..... one step at a time lol.. 4500 call at Rs 71

05 Sep 2008 09:59

I bought one more call..... one step at a time lol.. 4500 call at Rs 71...

In reply to:

I better put an end to my predictions

Posted by : vam_aru

generally when you have a 300 points down the next day will be atleast 200 points up, but the same can not be said for this situation. because they have a FDIC friday syndrome if any bank have failure Then they will tank more.

But my gut feeling is that they will be atleast 100 point or marginally up today, I don't see chart for DOW, I only do for NIFTY or any other stocks.

we are having positive inflation, and NSG outcome today and everyone expect that also positive, let's see if we are showing any strength today!!!

Regards
Aru

05 Sep 2008 09:43

2nd September

Posted by : eshers
View full thread (180 messages)

Tracked by: 3 Boarders

yes dear Googol. SGX is pointing to 113 pts down.. Lets see how much the put gains. I do have some 4300 Puts.

Cheers...

In reply to:

2nd September

Posted by : googol

0504

Dear Eshers,


I have two 4300PE options left.Hope you are referring to them only

Regards,

05 Sep 2008 09:40

Guess what??, the DOW TRIN is overbought at 0.2 when they sold off so much... THIS IS VERY VERY BULLISH... dow was bought in the sell off....I am at least 50% SURE THEY WILL RALLY TODAY..i dont want to say 100% coz i dont know why it should have fallen so much in the first place ystday... some hedge fund must have done basket selling due to european banks leaving interest rates unchanged maybe??... we will know shortly... definitely not technicals or the economic reports that came in ystday caused the fall..if anything the economic reports were not bad at all....

In reply to:

I better put an end to my predictions

Posted by : vam_aru

There is nothing wrong in giving predictions, you add the disclaimers with that. is anybody ever given corrrect predictions?

If they do also it works once in a while only, who knows the markets might bounce back from tomorrow.!!!

Regards
Aru

05 Sep 2008 09:29

Now many folks are jumping and to play long straddle....

In reply to:

Play for long straddle

Posted by : sam_pd

Nifty Option Strategy for month based on my EWT analysis

time to play for long straddle at 4500 strike price for Sept 08

05 Sep 2008 09:13

Nifty levels to watch 4360- 4325 ...

05 Sep 2008 09:07

generally when you have a 300 points down the next day will be atleast 200 points up, but the same can not be said for this situation. because they have a FDIC friday syndrome if any bank have failure Then they will tank more.

But my gut feeling is that they will be atleast 100 point or marginally up today, I don't see chart for DOW, I only do for NIFTY or any other stocks.

we are having positive inflation, and NSG outcome today and everyone expect that also positive, let's see if we are showing any strength today!!!

Regards
Aru...

In reply to:

I better put an end to my predictions

Posted by : radhika_nandlal

yes i have added my disclaimers, but today is the biggest disclaimer, NO MORE PREDICTIONS... lol

Yes it might bounce back tomorrow coz dow is pretty bullish let me check with today's data.. i think the employment data due today caued the sell off... are these reports leaked.. if yes they should reflect in the inidcators, but what to check when the pessimism is overdone... however if we spot accumulation in dow with ystday's close it could mean a great deal... what does ur chart say for dow?

05 Sep 2008 08:50

yes i have added my disclaimers, but today is the biggest disclaimer, NO MORE PREDICTIONS... lol

Yes it might bounce back tomorrow coz dow is pretty bullish let me check with today's data.. i think the employment data due today caued the sell off... are these reports leaked.. if yes they should reflect in the inidcators, but what to check when the pessimism is overdone... however if we spot accumulation in dow with ystday's close it could mean a great deal... what does ur chart say for dow?...

In reply to:

I better put an end to my predictions

Posted by : vam_aru

There is nothing wrong in giving predictions, you add the disclaimers with that. is anybody ever given corrrect predictions?

If they do also it works once in a while only, who knows the markets might bounce back from tomorrow.!!!

Regards
Aru

05 Sep 2008 08:44

2nd September

Posted by : googol
View full thread (180 messages)

Tracked by: 3 Boarders

0507

I am long on them ,dear Vam....

In reply to:

2nd September

Posted by : vam_aru

SELL side put or BUY side PUT?

05 Sep 2008 08:39
View full thread (180 messages)

Tracked by: 3 Boarders

SELL side put or BUY side PUT?...

In reply to:

2nd September

Posted by : googol

0504

Dear Eshers,


I have two 4300PE options left.Hope you are referring to them only

Regards,

05 Sep 2008 08:35

There is nothing wrong in giving predictions, you add the disclaimers with that. is anybody ever given corrrect predictions?

If they do also it works once in a while only, who knows the markets might bounce back from tomorrow.!!!

Regards
Aru...

In reply to:

I better put an end to my predictions

Posted by : radhika_nandlal

Thanks guys for being nice to me... i have gone wrong the whole of this week, so no more predictions. Something is troubling the markets and indications are mixed and confusing. Its better to stay out of prediction games for now. LOL

05 Sep 2008 08:28

2nd September

Posted by : googol
View full thread (180 messages)

Tracked by: 3 Boarders

0504

Dear Eshers,


I have two 4300PE options left.Hope you are referring to them only

Regards,...

In reply to:

2nd September

Posted by : eshers

Dear Googol,

Guess today could be a good day to sell some Puts.. You could sell one lot of 4400 as i believe you still have 2 lots.. Inflation though is still high, is atleast not growing as fast and looks like the NSG waiver could get thro.. So i might use the downside to buy some cheap calls..

Cheers

05 Sep 2008 08:25

2nd September

Posted by : googol
View full thread (180 messages)

Tracked by: 3 Boarders

0503

Dear Vam,

You are right and now I get you . The doubt came,as I always operate sub 4000 (!),

Have a great day!...

In reply to:

2nd September

Posted by : vam_aru

Dear Googol,

I can put it in different way, Generally Nifty contarcts might be anywhere between 5000 to 8000 ( In the money and At the money )so as a general rule you should be losing 20 % of this amount, In our case it will be 1000 to 1600, ( i means 20 points to 26 points ), when you are setting your profits then set 100 % , ( 5000 to 8000 ).

If someone going for the premium value of less than 1000 rs , These rules will not apply , then he/she may be putting entire money as a risk.

Your views are appriciated.

Regards
Aru

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