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Market Analysis - Technical View
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Market to open in Green
Stocks to recover despite USA and Asian market low profile.
Indian market will see a surge in its level. There is going to a big volume trading as well as number of stocks on trading list.
Day is good for profiters....
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U r right dear Bul2008. The next bull run will be very fantastic whenever it happen and of course India growth story is still intact, no doubt about that. Slowly and gradually one can enter in the market now and invest in frontline largecap stocks for long time....
In reply to:
Bull & Bear phase of the market
Posted by :
Bull 2008
Dear ank1977
The markets are in normal course of correction after a consistent bull run from May 2003 when the nifty was at 1000 and it peaked out at 6300 in jan 2008 a five year bull run which has just snapped due to fundamental reasons of sub prime and execessive speculation in crude, metal markets. This may take some more time to settle as the pain is severe in US markets. But this not the end of all bull runs.
The bull and bear phases are just cycles of markets and end of this bear phase will bring bigger and stronger bull run specially in India due change and postioning of India in world trade. India will definately gain out these pains and emerge as a winner in long run.
Buy when the world is out to sell if you believe in India`s growth story.
Cheers 
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In the last 4-5 years I do not think the markets have given such a buying oppourtunity. If there is a capitulation ahead today, Buy all fundamentally strong stocks without hesitation.
Markets will recover...Do not listen to scaremongerers, Do you think India is winding up??? yes there is doom and gloom ahead but the markets will recover. Invest what you can hold for a year or so and you will see double to triple digit gains over a 2 year period.
Buffet also made a paper loss on his first investment but finally made money when he sold which went on to give 4 times more returns had he held on..which is when he learnt to hold for the long term...
Look at the past the US came out of the great depression as well. The markets recovered long before the economy did.
Is reliance closing down?? then why the closing down sale on its stock price?? The reason is that sensex/index based scrips have FII holding who may be selling for cash flow reasons, as well as hedge funds selling to take advantage of the fera in the market.
I believe in a simple theory When the panwalla(no offence he may e richer and cleverer than you and me) asks you "saab kya share leneka?" is the time to sell and when everybody says sell the world is coming to an end is the right time to BUY!!
In the short term you may lose money on paper but when it recovers your paper loses disappear soonner than you can blink your eye!!!...
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Also, note the BS poll results - 2/3rds of the boarders will wait for 3400 to invest... So this should be the best time to invest :-)...
In reply to:
3600 gone , what NEXT ? 2755 or 4405?
Posted by : raj_tibs
Dear TC,
I think the Indian market is likely to be the top performing market in the next 3 years, IF commodity prices stay down. US market may be a very close second! SO yes, this is the time to buy those 2 ACC shares daily :-)
Regards
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Dear TC,
I think the Indian market is likely to be the top performing market in the next 3 years, IF commodity prices stay down. US market may be a very close second! SO yes, this is the time to buy those 2 ACC shares daily :-)
Regards...
In reply to:
3600 gone , what NEXT ? 2755 or 4405?
Posted by : TrueCompanion
Sir,
Nifty 3300 looks likely. If somehow It breaches 3000 and touches 2600-2700, I am 80% confident the rebounce will be equally fierce with non stop flight to 5000 by current FY end.
Theory of probability seems to dictate index can not behave abnormally for a period of more than 6 months and Nifty 4200-4250 is inevitable in 6-8 months.
regards
TC
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Market strategy :
Since 16k-17k broke down on Sensex the view was consistent to exit and wait for 14k-12.5k zones for investment. Again after the accumulation the view was to exit at 15k + .
Yet again the view has been consistent to buy in stock specific in small lots from 13k-11.2k. Although this would be easy for people who have been following the views strictly and for others the pain in markets could get unbearable as of now.
This is a time only for investors who have patience and do pick up good quality stocks with due research done. As it happens in euphoria stocks can stay at highly overvalued levels for quite some time similarly in pessimism and panics lot of stocks can stay much lower then fair value. So best way to go is buy in small lots and go staggered as its very difficult to spot an exact bottom in panics. 11200-12200 is a good zone to buy stock specific and look to book them partially on profits of 15-25 % to keep a good cash level . One should not commit more then 50 % at 11900-13k and add only at 11200-11500 if it comes or wait . For people those who are stuck can commit fresh money at 11500 or roundabouts only with a view to exit on 25 % gains and lock that money out as part of discipline and consider it fresh money !!! .
For traders this may not be the best time as volatility will be very high and one needs to play with strict stops and agility.
For more search Nooresh on google.....
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Dear shakti,
Thanks for the advice.regards...
In reply to:
HELP HELP HELP !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Posted by : sp.palo
mohanji,
i would go for BHEL, NTPC and SBI ( below 1400) . These stocks look good for medium term. you can accumulate RIL around 1600 .
regards
shakti
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Leasing finance :
A method of acquiring business equipment without capital outlay. the bank or finance company buys the equipment and leases it to the customer, in return for regular rental payments for the duration of the lease period.
TC-071008-S-01...
In reply to:
< Enhance Stock Knowledge Skills >
Posted by : TrueCompanion
Trickle down :
The process whereby the economic gains from economic growth pass down throughout the entire society eventually giving rise to development.
TC-061008-S-01
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mohanji,
i would go for BHEL, NTPC and SBI ( below 1400) . These stocks look good for medium term. you can accumulate RIL around 1600 .
regards
shakti...
In reply to:
HELP HELP HELP !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Posted by :
mohanji
Dear shakti,
Thanks for your encouraging words.can I have your five pics in order of priority for cash purchase?Regards
Tracked by: 11 Boarders
Sir,
What is this slingshot straddle?...I had heard about sligshot Carbine Rifles.Can you please explain it.regards...
In reply to:
I better put an end to my predictions
Posted by :
winwath
Rudra bro.
U ever heard of the term `slingshot stradle" ? sent you a private e mail - hopefully it is clear. let me have your views on that. It has worked wonders for me in the US market as well as here in India.
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Dear shakti,
Thanks for your encouraging words.can I have your five pics in order of priority for cash purchase?Regards...
In reply to:
HELP HELP HELP !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Posted by : sp.palo
dear mohanji,
its good that you are in cash and should be smiling with courage. markets are nearing its bottom. you can start building your portfolio gradually. select good stocks with good fundamentals and accumulate. My personal view is that you can deploy 50% of your cash at present levels.
regards
shakti
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Dear lalit,
why are you after Kalidas ? Let him do this own things.
please dont mind. You cannot change one`s nature by telling or yelling with anger, not even your son`s. try it.
Better to adjust with others.Life is a series of adjustments even if you dont like it. This is what i have learnt.
Hope for better markets in coming days.
regards
shakti ...
In reply to:
3600 gone , what NEXT ? 2755 or 4405?
Posted by : Lalitdeshpandey
raj_tibs,
HATS OFF....
You are Interested boarder.
APES.... Most on MMB are APES... Only one expert.kalidas whopredicted sensex rally of 2400 points on 26 tha morning.
still arguing with me.
Help yaar.. I have to catch flight in next hour.
Please reply him on that thread of RALLY 2400 point.
Love you,
bye...
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Dear Friends,
In recent past we have seen diper correction in Chines market. I have studied Investment strategy of FIIS in emerging markets during last 18 Months.
CORRECTION In INDIAN MARKET MAY END FOLLOWING LEVELS OF INDICES :
Sensex : may fall to 10587
Nifty : may fall to 3177.
This is the levels we can think buying with long view. Time will tell us. We shall also look into our Economic growth data also in parity with Global cues.
Thanx,
LALIT....
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Dear Rashmi,
I do not think this is the time to buy straddles... I think best to buy Dec calls... Dec 4000 call trading around 140.. I think that is a good buy... If the markets fall further tomorrow, buy a suitable Dec call (that costs between 120-140). The upside i would look at is at least 100 %....
In reply to:
3600 gone , what NEXT ? 2755 or 4405?
Posted by : rashmi26
dear raj,
if i buy a straddle tomorrow what are the risks and what can be the max profit.also how much will i need to deploy fr one straddle of 3700 or 3600
pl reply ,regds
rashmi
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Well OK RT, if you like it that way !
Regards....
In reply to:
3600 gone , what NEXT ? 2755 or 4405?
Posted by : raj_tibs
TC,
Please do not call me SIR!
Regards,
