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Market Analysis - Technical View
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
retail also needs to change their game plan, no fixed game plan can work. when naked shorts can mint money, what is need of buying....
In reply to:
TURNING AHEAD 30 Sep 08
Posted by :
narendrankb
Whatyou are speaking dear.Silverline,Arvindmils,tatasteel all were the stocks you gave a call to buy and see today all these stocks are 50-70percent down from your level.Only Shankarsharma,Ramesh damani practised aid what they said publically.Do any retail investors have any money to buy now?Any one can give cal like you without any accountability factor.Operators are short and not long .Elections does not always leads to Teji.HAve guts to say ,I gave wrong call and sorry to all the investors who are suffering because of me. 
Tracked by: 2 Boarders
Dear Mohan,
Along with shakti`s Picks, you can have a contradian view and PICK on e bank and one Construction, IDBI and HCC or GMR Infra....
In reply to:
HELP HELP HELP !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Posted by :
mohanji
Dear shakti,
Thanks for your encouraging words.can I have your five pics in order of priority for cash purchase?Regards
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few months back, $ was loosing sign of global currency and now Hoarding of dollar, thats fresh....
In reply to:
Capitulation!! Buying Opportunity Galore!!!
Posted by :
Bull 2008
Dear kentmss
Nifty was at 1000 in 2003 and we are back to Dec 2006 levels. We have given two years of gains in just 10 months and still the poison is not out the system.
This is the worst problem of the decade and may not easily move out of the way. We have witnessed 50% of value eroded in some big stocks like sterlite in just one month. Hoarding of dollar is just saying very different story which might unfold soon.
Cheer
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3200 next on nifty without draft play, with draft play raj can tell....
In reply to:
3600 gone , what NEXT ? 2755 or 4405?
Posted by : Lalitdeshpandey
Dear Boarders and Moderators,
Most popular and live thread ,WILL Nifty Hit 3600 and Sensex 12000???
now 3600 gone , what NEXT ??
2755 or 4405 ?????
It would be of much help if few of experts can post their logical views.
(Views backed by TA or Logic )
I reuest all experts to share, including MMB Team, Udayan Mukherji, Emkay stock and most popular NIFTY MASTER, Kotak Investments...
Thanks,
lalit.
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
Dear lalit,
You have posted a broad range, you will see one of the target reached by next month end...!!! don`t ask me which one...!!...
In reply to:
3600 gone , what NEXT ? 2755 or 4405?
Posted by : Lalitdeshpandey
Dear Boarders and Moderators,
Most popular and live thread ,WILL Nifty Hit 3600 and Sensex 12000???
now 3600 gone , what NEXT ??
2755 or 4405 ?????
It would be of much help if few of experts can post their logical views.
(Views backed by TA or Logic )
I reuest all experts to share, including MMB Team, Udayan Mukherji, Emkay stock and most popular NIFTY MASTER, Kotak Investments...
Thanks,
lalit.
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
Dear kentmss
Nifty was at 1000 in 2003 and we are back to Dec 2006 levels. We have given two years of gains in just 10 months and still the poison is not out the system.
This is the worst problem of the decade and may not easily move out of the way. We have witnessed 50% of value eroded in some big stocks like sterlite in just one month. Hoarding of dollar is just saying very different story which might unfold soon.
Cheer
...
In reply to:
Capitulation!! Buying Opportunity Galore!!!
Posted by : kentmss
Dear udydudy,
Your message deserves a 5 Star Rating and I have given so. You are bang on target. Even Prashant Jain of HDFC Mutual Fund has said "You find Multibaggers more in a Bear Market". The markets may fall another 10%, even 20%, but it will not become a Zero. These FIIs are in a Bad Shape, they HAVE to sell to meet the Redemption Presurre they are facing back home. It is THEY who are facing the problem and hence selling, they Why should You and me sell, it is the time to BUY.
India is in a High Growth Mode. Smart money always chases High Growth. And it will not be long before the Inflows start flowing again.
Then, my dear friend, don`t cry over split milk and say you missed the rally again.
Buy, now. Preferably spread your investment and stagger them.
Best of all, invest through Mutual Funds for Maximum Returns with Minimum Effort.
Best of luck,
Srikanth Shankar Matrubai.
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Dear udydudy
We have seen margin pressures in the markets, bankruptcy came next and many bank have gone burst in the US.
But still we are in a denial mode to sell stocks by the public in general and also seen less redemption pressures on mutual fund.
we are just seeing the distressed selling from the FII`s which is moving the index down.
But we not seen the mass exodus still by the public hence the capitulation has not been witnessed here in India still and has to take off and sooner the better.
Capitulation in india might be at the stage when we see 50%-60% sell off from top on the index.
Cheers...
In reply to:
Capitulation!! Buying Opportunity Galore!!!
Posted by : udydudy
In the last 4-5 years I do not think the markets have given such a buying oppourtunity. If there is a capitulation ahead today, Buy all fundamentally strong stocks without hesitation.
Markets will recover...Do not listen to scaremongerers, Do you think India is winding up??? yes there is doom and gloom ahead but the markets will recover. Invest what you can hold for a year or so and you will see double to triple digit gains over a 2 year period.
Buffet also made a paper loss on his first investment but finally made money when he sold which went on to give 4 times more returns had he held on..which is when he learnt to hold for the long term...
Look at the past the US came out of the great depression as well. The markets recovered long before the economy did.
Is reliance closing down?? then why the closing down sale on its stock price?? The reason is that sensex/index based scrips have FII holding who may be selling for cash flow reasons, as well as hedge funds selling to take advantage of the fera in the market.
I believe in a simple theory When the panwalla(no offence he may e richer and cleverer than you and me) asks you "saab kya share leneka?" is the time to sell and when everybody says sell the world is coming to an end is the right time to BUY!!
In the short term you may lose money on paper but when it recovers your paper loses disappear soonner than you can blink your eye!!!
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
Dear udydudy,
Your message deserves a 5 Star Rating and I have given so. You are bang on target. Even Prashant Jain of HDFC Mutual Fund has said "You find Multibaggers more in a Bear Market". The markets may fall another 10%, even 20%, but it will not become a Zero. These FIIs are in a Bad Shape, they HAVE to sell to meet the Redemption Presurre they are facing back home. It is THEY who are facing the problem and hence selling, they Why should You and me sell, it is the time to BUY.
India is in a High Growth Mode. Smart money always chases High Growth. And it will not be long before the Inflows start flowing again.
Then, my dear friend, don`t cry over split milk and say you missed the rally again.
Buy, now. Preferably spread your investment and stagger them.
Best of all, invest through Mutual Funds for Maximum Returns with Minimum Effort.
Best of luck,
Srikanth Shankar Matrubai.
...
In reply to:
Capitulation!! Buying Opportunity Galore!!!
Posted by : udydudy
In the last 4-5 years I do not think the markets have given such a buying oppourtunity. If there is a capitulation ahead today, Buy all fundamentally strong stocks without hesitation.
Markets will recover...Do not listen to scaremongerers, Do you think India is winding up??? yes there is doom and gloom ahead but the markets will recover. Invest what you can hold for a year or so and you will see double to triple digit gains over a 2 year period.
Buffet also made a paper loss on his first investment but finally made money when he sold which went on to give 4 times more returns had he held on..which is when he learnt to hold for the long term...
Look at the past the US came out of the great depression as well. The markets recovered long before the economy did.
Is reliance closing down?? then why the closing down sale on its stock price?? The reason is that sensex/index based scrips have FII holding who may be selling for cash flow reasons, as well as hedge funds selling to take advantage of the fera in the market.
I believe in a simple theory When the panwalla(no offence he may e richer and cleverer than you and me) asks you "saab kya share leneka?" is the time to sell and when everybody says sell the world is coming to an end is the right time to BUY!!
In the short term you may lose money on paper but when it recovers your paper loses disappear soonner than you can blink your eye!!!
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
BSE Capital Goods index declined 4%; market breadth was bearish - out of over 2,680 scrips traded, over 1,815 declined
...
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So the commercial paper funding news was leaked... else the NYSE TRIN couldnt have been so overbought on Friday and monday at 0.1 and 0.5 respectively even when they fell hard....
In reply to:
Tuesday 7th September
Posted by : radhika_nandlal
The dow and nifty both show accumulation. Dow shows accumulation for two days in a row. I FEEL today they close with robust gains.
The NYSE TRIN is once again overbought at 0.5 inspite of the fall.
Our own TRIN at 3 is grossly grossly oversold perhaps reflecting a fair bit of shorts which should get covered causing a rally. But otherwise all indices only indicate bearishness.
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You described it correctly. But we are yet to see capitualtion of index heavy weights. Midcaps & small caps have been cut to size, so downside is not so great as compared to hwat heavy weights have in store. Nifty has to touch 3000. This will be gradual process, like slowly killing medicine. The survivors will see the light at the end of tunnel....
In reply to:
Capitulation!! Buying Opportunity Galore!!!
Posted by : chief_kamani
As a bear market really gets rolling, fear turns to desperation, desperation turns to panic, panic turns to capitulation, and capitulation turns to despondency.Finally, despondency morphs into depression, just as the market begins to turn higher. We think it is clear that we have seen panic and capitulation over the last couple of weeks.So in last few weeks,there was a look of despondency and depression on the faces of Equity Investors!!So now we are likely to get into a very interesting phase,in which no one can predict which ways the Markets are headed to!!India still has internal consumption and growth story!!But the constant FII Selling,rising dollar,low liquidity,high interest rates,inflation & loss of investor confidence are playing
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As a bear market really gets rolling, fear turns to desperation, desperation turns to panic, panic turns to capitulation, and capitulation turns to despondency.Finally, despondency morphs into depression, just as the market begins to turn higher. We think it is clear that we have seen panic and capitulation over the last couple of weeks.So in last few weeks,there was a look of despondency and depression on the faces of Equity Investors!!So now we are likely to get into a very interesting phase,in which no one can predict which ways the Markets are headed to!!India still has internal consumption and growth story!!But the constant FII Selling,rising dollar,low liquidity,high interest rates,inflation & loss of investor confidence are playing...
In reply to:
Capitulation!! Buying Opportunity Galore!!!
Posted by : udydudy
In the last 4-5 years I do not think the markets have given such a buying oppourtunity. If there is a capitulation ahead today, Buy all fundamentally strong stocks without hesitation.
Markets will recover...Do not listen to scaremongerers, Do you think India is winding up??? yes there is doom and gloom ahead but the markets will recover. Invest what you can hold for a year or so and you will see double to triple digit gains over a 2 year period.
Buffet also made a paper loss on his first investment but finally made money when he sold which went on to give 4 times more returns had he held on..which is when he learnt to hold for the long term...
Look at the past the US came out of the great depression as well. The markets recovered long before the economy did.
Is reliance closing down?? then why the closing down sale on its stock price?? The reason is that sensex/index based scrips have FII holding who may be selling for cash flow reasons, as well as hedge funds selling to take advantage of the fera in the market.
I believe in a simple theory When the panwalla(no offence he may e richer and cleverer than you and me) asks you "saab kya share leneka?" is the time to sell and when everybody says sell the world is coming to an end is the right time to BUY!!
In the short term you may lose money on paper but when it recovers your paper loses disappear soonner than you can blink your eye!!!
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NEW YORK: Oil dropped more than 6% to below $88 a barrel on Monday as a global market rout churned concerns that faltering fuel demand could slow further.
US stocks tumbled 6% to the lowest level in nearly five years as part of an international sell-off on fears the global economy was heading into recession.
US crude settled down $6.07 at $87.81 a barrel after hitting an eight-month low of $87.56. London Brent crude fell $6.57 to settle at $83.68 a barrel.
Crude prices have plummeted from a peak over $147 a barrel set on July 11 as high fuel prices and the growing financial crisis slow oil demand in top consumer the United States and other industrialized nations.
"The prevailing macro sentiment is now crystallizing around the notion that we are heading into a synchronized global slowdown, a mirror image of the across-the-board expansion we saw from 2004 to early 2007," said Edward Meir of broker MF Global.
Analysts are watching oil demand from China -- which helped fuel a 6-year rally in commodities -- for signs the crisis is hitting consumption.
The world`s No. 2 consumer will not import gasoline for the second straight month and instead export the fuel due to heavy domestic stockpiles and a dip in demand.
"I think the market`s starting to build this into prices," said Mark Pervan, senior commodities analyst at ANZ. "You would expect the market is now joining the dots and thinking ... this will probably flow through to China."
The US and European governments are trying to underpin the financial sector but so far this has failed to reassure investors.
European shares suffered their worst one-day%age fall on record, sinking to four-year closing lows while trading in Brazil halted after a 15% drop in its benchmark index.
The drop in prices has caused some concern among OPEC members, while analysts are revising down demand outlook projections.
"Definitely there is worry. When the prices are so volatile, like rising to $140 and then dropping to below $90, it worries everybody," said Iraq`s Oil Minister Hussain al-Shahristani.
Ecuadorean Oil Minister Galo Chiriboga said OPEC will analyze the impact of the global financial crisis on oil demand and set production levels in accordance.
Iran said $100 a barrel was too low and urged members to respect their output targets to prevent oversupply from worsening.
OPEC President Chakib Khelil said OPEC would seek to balance the market when it meets in December.
...
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
Whatyou are speaking dear.Silverline,Arvindmils,tatasteel all were the stocks you gave a call to buy and see today all these stocks are 50-70percent down from your level.Only Shankarsharma,Ramesh damani practised aid what they said publically.Do any retail investors have any money to buy now?Any one can give cal like you without any accountability factor.Operators are short and not long .Elections does not always leads to Teji.HAve guts to say ,I gave wrong call and sorry to all the investors who are suffering because of me....
In reply to:
TURNING AHEAD 30 Sep 08
Posted by : amarakbar
Dear shareviews,
My kind of calculations have worked for me in INDIA till now.
Do you think INVESTORS were responsible for worldmarket fluctuations of 2007 to 2008 period in Metals, USD , stocks , commodities etc !
In ANY market , SPECULATORS and OPERATORS are ALWAYS there.
They make you think what they want to and they trade just in opposite direction.
My view is, Operators are in BUY MODE at present .
Rest is all crap.
They were the ones who had initiated shorts since Oct2007 , they are wise and deserve standing ovation. Now as per my view they have ALREADY covered their shorts, have INCREASED their longs or holdings in the companies they are interested in .
By August 2009 to March 2010 we will have DOUBLE TOP in bse30 index and nifty50 index is VERY PROBABLE POSSIBILITY as per my own personal view based on my limited knowledge on charts.
We may even cross previous tops if enough shorts are created at lower levels by fools.
2 weeks to go now for end of bearish sentiments.
For level crazy readers- 12050, 11600, 11200 for bse 30 index level.
Usually when stocks are available cheap and at attractive rates , and even when there is enough cash available , most investors do not buy anything at all as they are scared.
They buy near tops and then feel sorry.
3 day simple moving average will be good friend who will let you know when you may buy. Any close above 3 day simple moving average now onwards will signal new fresh upmove for the market.
For smart ones - hint- USA and INDIA elections
worst quarterly result announcements will play pivotal and important role.
Thank you all responsible for boarder of the day
warm regards
Vipul Lashkari
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You cant wait for nifty to below 3200, even if it come to the level I think 2008 will not saw the day. I think before that we will again see 4200 or higher by the end of Nov`08...
In reply to:
Where is the BOTTOM ? Sensex-10587/Nifty-3177
Posted by : Lalitdeshpandey
Dear Friends,
In recent past we have seen diper correction in Chines market. I have studied Investment strategy of FIIS in emerging markets during last 18 Months.
CORRECTION In INDIAN MARKET MAY END FOLLOWING LEVELS OF INDICES :
Sensex : may fall to 10587
Nifty : may fall to 3177.
This is the levels we can think buying with long view. Time will tell us. We shall also look into our Economic growth data also in parity with Global cues.
Thanx,
LALIT.
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