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Market Outlook - Short Term
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
Sensex in Green as said and expected. Will be in Red and Green due to profit booking.
But in all market will be good.
Its a day for profit booking
...
Tracked by: 108 Boarders
Maine ...
In reply to:
WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000
Posted by :
pkjattking
yes ..... looks like a light @ the end of tunnel.... anyways futures are up a bit..... now.... crude has broken even lower.... 
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If nifty remain in range between 3600-3800, it may touch 3150, it has to go above 3900 level. Market is up by 380 pts. now....
In reply to:
Where do you see the Nifty bottoming out?
Posted by : MMB Messenger
Dear Boarders,Do let us know your views and opinions on the poll.-MMB Messenger
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Dear Boarders,Do let us know your views and opinions on the poll.-MMB Messenger...
Tracked by: 1 Boarder
I believe 3530 nifty/11200-500 sensex shall be a very attractive level to get in the market, I hope 3530 should be the bottom of nifty in short to medium turn. Nifty began it`s journey from 2600/8800 sensex in June 2006 and achieved the peak of 6300 Nifty /21500 sensex in January 2008. { Gain of 3750 point in Nifty and 12700 points in Sensex between June 2006 and January 2008}If we look on the past record of 5 years of the World market we find that Market always formed a solid base after correcting 66%-75% of the total gains. In June 2006 Nifty bounced back after correcting 66% of it`s total gain.At 3530 nifty/ 11200-500 75% correction of the total gains shall be completed. 75% correction of the total gains is a rare case and it can be archived only in the worst market conditions and sentiments which we are passing through. Market is ignoring many positive steps like falling crude price, peak out of Intrest rate, cut in CRR, P-notes relaxation in medium term,Nuclear deal, falling trend of Inflation due to very poor market sentiment and Globally weak sentiments.
Based upon the above I strongly believe that 3530-3600 shall be a good level to get in the market. People should start investing in the market now with a 12 month horizon for getting handsome gains in the days to come....
In reply to:
At what Nifty level will you invest fresh money?
Posted by : MMB Messenger
Dear Boarders,Do let us know your views and opinions on the poll.-MMB Messenger
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
The world keeps changing every night and we come back with a completely fresh perspective - so much has changed since the markets closed last evening or yesterday afternoon. The Participatory-note (P-note) regulations have changed; the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has surprisingly cut cash reserve ratio (CRR), global markets continue to tumble though Asia is weathering it a little bit better this morning. So global turmoil, lots of policy changes - it will all go into the melting pot today, who knows what will win; policy action or global turmoil.
On global markets:
These are difficult times, unprecedented times in the global markets and therefore the kind of action that we are seeing is also quite unprecedented. Things are very fluid at this point in time. You do not know what the market will react to this morning, it could easily snap back because of the concerted regulatory action, which is happening or it could continue to drift down along with global markets. So it is a tough call.
We are seeing history unfold in front of our eyes. This is something that we do not see in a decade or a couple of decades, the kind of action that we are seeing in global markets and the way regulators across the world are forced to respond to it to at least keep the patient alive. There is absolutely history unfolding and therefore the less you take in terms of big directional calls in the market, the better because we have no clue of where the situation might land us in finally. It is tough times and absolutely historic times for financial markets around us.
For many markets, it is almost like the hemorrhaging right now?
It is and I suspect that will continue because this is not about small interest rate change and it is not about throwing a little bit money at the system or anything like that. We are probably hurtling towards the global recession not just the US recession at this point in time and the kind of economic distress, which might unfold over the next few quarters, is making everybody very nervous and justifiably so.
So right now you don’t want to get into that, okay inflation at 11.99 so we are fine, Cash reserve Ratio (CRR) down more 50-bps, so we are fine or to get extremely bearish between points and say now the market will go to 8,000 Sensex and the Dow will plunge to 5,000. None of us know what is going to happen. Could any of us have predicted the events that have unfolded in the last 4-5 weeks? The biggest analyst in the world couldn’t have seen of what is going to happen.
We are in unprecedented times and none of us know how things will shape up over the next few weeks and months. It is best to say I don’t understand what is going on; it’s beyond my comprehension completely. I don’t want to stick money into assets and all right now, if I could I would dig it under the ground and sit on it since I can’t do that I just need to be in cash at this point and not be brave trying to fool myself by thinking that I am the best analyst in the world who knows exactly how this thing will pan out. When in doubt just keep your money under the mattress that is always worked in history and that is going to work right now.
Asian Indices:
Asia is okay this morning it is not such a bad picture the Nikkei is down about 2%, Straits Times is actually up 1.5%, China is down 1.5%, so mixed bag but no great sell-off as you have seen across the US market things are little bit calmer out here though they started negatively, the most Asian markets seem to have come-off the morning’s lows.
It’s almost like a vortex situation everyday?
It is and the way things are now capitulating in the West is quite alarming because yesterday Europe was down 8-9% apiece. I do not remember in my memory when European markets fell 8-9% a day, Russia was down 19%. These are indices for large markets which are falling 18-19% a day; it’s not a single midcap stock. So it’s very scary, but the pace at which these markets are falling right now lead you to believe that for the near-term you are probably headed to another intermediate bottom because things do not fall 20% a day for very long. So its getting completely overdone right now, you are seeing the absolute peak of panic, it could last for a day or two sure or maybe in the next 48 hours you will probably see a spike back in the global markets. I know not the best morning to suggest that but it inevitably happens when market falls 7-8% a day.
-Udayan Mukherjee, Managing Editor,CNBC TV18...
Tracked by: 108 Boarders
Buffett vs. Cramer: Time to Buy or Sell?
Posted Oct 06, 2008 07:56pm EDT by Aaron Task in Investing, Newsmakers
Related: GE, GS, BRK-B, AAPL, UFS, MCF, CEG
Two of the most storied investors in modern finance are squaring off as the market gyrates.
On the one hand, legendary investor Warren Buffett has invested billions recently with investments in GE, Goldman Sachs and Constellation Energy, among others.
On the other hand, former hedge fund titan and market pundit Jim Cramer made a remarkable "sell stocks if you need the money within the next 5 years" declaration on NBC`s "The Today Show" Monday morning.
The question for investors is which guru to follow? At the Value Investing Congress in New York Monday the answer was clear: Buffett. Value investors are licking their chops at opportunities to invest in quality stocks, including Buffett`s Berkshire Hathaway, they believe are trading at incredibly attractive levels, as detailed in the accompanying video. (Meanwhile, Henry Blodget sees tremendous value in Apple.)
While it`s fun to pair them off, the reality is Buffett might actually agree with Cramer about the next five years; it`s unknown but pretty certain Buffett is thinking far beyond that time-frame. The Oracle of Omaha is the ultimate long-term investor, having famously describing his favorite holding period as "forever."...
In reply to:
WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000
Posted by : BullSheetRules
So DOW closed well above BS expectation of 9800+ value!
Dow closed in four digit figures.
9,955.50
-369.88 (-3.58%)
Oct 6 - Close
That four figures should be good enough to create all kind of scary and fearful headlines. That four figures will now put PRESSURE on different BIG PLAYers to take some steps!
Scope is still for some Downside to that 9800 on closing basis in 1-2 days!
Let us hope positive news along with rate cuts, better corporate results along with new accounting norms starts coming up!
Rally on DOW should be expected soon!
Gud luk & happy investing! :)
Tracked by: 1 Boarder
I except Sensex to come down at 6000 level by looking at the preset level scenario. At 6000 level of Senex i will come back and Invest a lot. I have lost all my trust in the market. it is better to hold money as ideal cash instead on investing and loosing the money in 1 week...
In reply to:
At what Nifty level will you invest fresh money?
Posted by : MMB Messenger
Dear Boarders,Do let us know your views and opinions on the poll.-MMB Messenger
Tracked by: 1 Boarder
Well I would like you to know that the options that you have given are few and are not sufficient for my answer. Investment in the Nifty should start below 3000. Looking at the present scenario Nifty can go down till 2700 to 2800 and that would be the correct time to invest according to me...
In reply to:
At what Nifty level will you invest fresh money?
Posted by : MMB Messenger
Dear Boarders,Do let us know your views and opinions on the poll.-MMB Messenger
Tracked by: 108 Boarders
yes ..... looks like a light @ the end of tunnel.... anyways futures are up a bit..... now.... crude has broken even lower.......
In reply to:
WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000
Posted by : BullSheetRules
So DOW closed well above BS expectation of 9800+ value!
Dow closed in four digit figures.
9,955.50
-369.88 (-3.58%)
Oct 6 - Close
That four figures should be good enough to create all kind of scary and fearful headlines. That four figures will now put PRESSURE on different BIG PLAYers to take some steps!
Scope is still for some Downside to that 9800 on closing basis in 1-2 days!
Let us hope positive news along with rate cuts, better corporate results along with new accounting norms starts coming up!
Rally on DOW should be expected soon!
Gud luk & happy investing! :)
Tracked by: 108 Boarders
Dear BSR,
I understood your views on tatasteel and made part purchase yesterday
@344. Thanks for your concern and good advice.
regards
deepak...
In reply to:
WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000
Posted by : BullSheetRules
Dear d_k,
I hope you had a look on those msgs!:) I have outlined different perspective taking TataSteel as an example.
You can think on similar lines.
Be careful and cautious in such times!
RULES for Genuine LT Investors are DIFFERENT!
Gud luk & happy investing! :)
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Nifty: (3602)
We saw a free fall in Nifty once it broke below 3800 levels, complete bloodbath made nifty to reenter 3600 region after a long time. .
For today,
Keep an eye over 3550-3570 region which will act as very strong support. If we are not able to sustain this, then free fall is seen for 3200 levels. Sustaining above it will easily take Nifty towards 3720, 3800 levels. Nifty is highly oversold and any rally will lead towards 3920 levels where it will find strong resistance.
-courtesy stox and more
...
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BSE index: (11801)
Yesterday,
Markets did tried to sail in the upper range earlier, but on failing tested the support zone of 12650 for some time and finally tanked down on fears of higher inflation and bailout package getting not passed.
For today, Consider 11150-11350 zone as the next support levels while 12300 is the resistance level on the upside, above it 12800 will become the next obvious level. Trend remains down and one should not go for leveraged position on the upside till we do not really show a real strength above 12800.
-courtesy stox and more...
Tracked by: 1 Boarder
A short rally is expected...
In reply to:
At what Nifty level will you invest fresh money?
Posted by : MMB Messenger
Dear Boarders,Do let us know your views and opinions on the poll.-MMB Messenger
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
Hope BSR is listening.
Besides TA and FA, SA ( sentiment analysis ) should be there as a part of the game.
SA not only specifies the mental behavior of investors but also the dirty tricks of the trade followed by HNIs to trap small investors.
regards
shakti...
Poll
Udayan's Market Outlook
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Difficult to predict market direction | |
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| Udayan Mukherjee, Stocks Editor, TV18 | ||
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Popular Boarders 7days| 253 | |
| 161 | |
| 99 | |
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Top Tracked 7days| 701 | |
| 694 | |
| 458 | |
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| 351 | |
Prolific Boarders 7days| 437 | |
| 313 | |
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