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Moneycontrol >> Messageboard >> Market View >> Market Analysis - Technical View
   You are here :     Moneycontrol     MMB   Market View   Market Analysis - Technical View

Market Analysis - Technical View

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28 Aug 2008 23:34

28th July

Posted by : mohanji
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Radhikaji,
Inflation at 12.4 is very soothing.Today Latha with her loud speach is not seen.Where is she hiding today.Udyan and Latha are not amused today with lowering of inflation.Let us hope your excel is bullish for tomorrow....

In reply to:

28th July

Posted by : radhika_nandlal

jatt,

as mentioned in my TA for today, oil shows both bullishness and bearishness and see both playing out.. oil was high at 120 one point and now 114.... RSI said sell two days in a row, distribution two days in a row both bearish and one knew the high price wont sustain... so if it goes up short, if it comes down go long... thats the beauty of mixed indications.. play both ways... you trade oil?

28 Aug 2008 23:22

28th July

Posted by : vam_aru
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Hi,

I have lost 3.3 K Inclusive of Brokerage in 4300 AUG CE, To made up this as per the CNBC Rajat Bose Reco I have bought one Mini Nifty at 4226, and since I'm tracking reliance industries I bought one Lot at 2080 ( SEP ), I have learned one more lesson, I had 4300 PE ( 6 lots at the average of 25 few days back ) but eventually squared with some profit, so next time if I buy any option call and risking some amount I should not touch that what ever the volatility and let the market play out.

Market is the great teacher.

Regards

Aru...

In reply to:

28th July

Posted by : radhika_nandlal

how sad that i bought only one lot of minifty... i do have one call 4300 CE september series so the two should more than wipe out losses today.. i bought the 4300 Sept CE for Rs 145 i guess and the minifty for Rs 4238... what about you?

28 Aug 2008 22:23

28th July

Posted by : roameri
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Why not start a new thread for each day. This posting for 28/08/2008 on the thread called 28th.July is confusing.
So rn what about 29/08/2008 ?
Cheers !!!
j....

In reply to:

28th July

Posted by : radhika_nandlal

jatt,

as mentioned in my TA for today, oil shows both bullishness and bearishness and see both playing out.. oil was high at 120 one point and now 114.... RSI said sell two days in a row, distribution two days in a row both bearish and one knew the high price wont sustain... so if it goes up short, if it comes down go long... thats the beauty of mixed indications.. play both ways... you trade oil?

28 Aug 2008 22:18

28th July

Posted by : gv
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Yes your right the averages are decreasing,But over all revenue increase
seen
another area is petrol consumption increasing not talking about diesel
In spite of tight financing,the 2 wheeler and car ales are not showing significant low numbers
In spite of increase in food prices,the mid size restaurants are doing busy bussines
Number of students join professional courses are higher to previous years
People are moving out of cable to DTH,numbers are showing
Housing loan has come down,may be people don't want to put money for long term
Remember Pay commission money is going to come soon
Today i visited ICICI both Dmat section and trade section are empty
My friend at bank told me credit card defaults slightly increased
So the scene is bit confusing to me,to take a call
Regds
GV

...

In reply to:

28th July

Posted by : novice1000

dear gv,

There are two things one has to look at.

1)Taking a mobile connection is the cheapest compared to many other expenses these days.

2)Atleast some of the new connections might just be the change overs (just a possibility which cant be ruled out) to new service providers or change of numbers.

regards

PS: Hope you are aware about the declining average revenues per connection.

28 Aug 2008 22:09

28th July

Posted by : pkjattking
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Let me crack a joke now..... can you call yahoo to to move the top chart line higher as Dow wants to go higher.....lol...

In reply to:

28th July

Posted by : radhika_nandlal

jatt,

as mentioned in my TA for today, oil shows both bullishness and bearishness and see both playing out.. oil was high at 120 one point and now 114.... RSI said sell two days in a row, distribution two days in a row both bearish and one knew the high price wont sustain... so if it goes up short, if it comes down go long... thats the beauty of mixed indications.. play both ways... you trade oil?

28 Aug 2008 22:04

28th July

Posted by : pkjattking
View full thread (90 messages)

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No I don,t trade oil..... I do trade usd.... I think smart traders will sell into this hype of oil bi friday,s close...... lets c..........

In reply to:

28th July

Posted by : radhika_nandlal

jatt,

as mentioned in my TA for today, oil shows both bullishness and bearishness and see both playing out.. oil was high at 120 one point and now 114.... RSI said sell two days in a row, distribution two days in a row both bearish and one knew the high price wont sustain... so if it goes up short, if it comes down go long... thats the beauty of mixed indications.. play both ways... you trade oil?

28 Aug 2008 21:37
View full thread (90 messages)

Tracked by: 0 Boarder

jatt,

as mentioned in my TA for today, oil shows both bullishness and bearishness and see both playing out.. oil was high at 120 one point and now 114.... RSI said sell two days in a row, distribution two days in a row both bearish and one knew the high price wont sustain... so if it goes up short, if it comes down go long... thats the beauty of mixed indications.. play both ways... you trade oil?...

In reply to:

28th July

Posted by : pkjattking

the storm brewing in gulf of Mexico will b over bi monday........ speculators will b left holding the bag when its over..n done with... however it seems like market makers want to take the our mkt for a bit of a ride.............. which is healthy in short term....... play defensive.... now ...ok.......

28 Aug 2008 21:34

Please advise from where/which website I can get an updated ROC-wise list of stocks, as well as ROC of Nifty or various sectors. ...

In reply to:

Crude rally may push Nifty below 4,250: Ashwani Gujral

Posted by : MMB Messenger

Technical Analyst, Ashwani Gujral said that one should trade once current levels are broken. According to him, the rally is tapering off and markets are forming lower lows. He feels that if crude goes above USD 120 per barrel, Nifty may go below 4250 levels. He believes that markets may revisit lows.

28 Aug 2008 21:31

28th July

Posted by : novice1000
View full thread (90 messages)

Tracked by: 0 Boarder

dear gv,

There are two things one has to look at.

1)Taking a mobile connection is the cheapest compared to many other expenses these days.

2)Atleast some of the new connections might just be the change overs (just a possibility which cant be ruled out) to new service providers or change of numbers.

regards

PS: Hope you are aware about the declining average revenues per connection....

In reply to:

28th July

Posted by : gv

Dear novice,
You summed up nicely
But-I am not able to reconcile the increase in number of new Mobile connections
Month after month
Regds
GV

28 Aug 2008 21:01

28th July

Posted by : pkjattking
View full thread (90 messages)

Tracked by: 0 Boarder

the storm brewing in gulf of Mexico will b over bi monday........ speculators will b left holding the bag when its over..n done with... however it seems like market makers want to take the our mkt for a bit of a ride.............. which is healthy in short term....... play defensive.... now ...ok....... ...

In reply to:

28th July

Posted by : radhika_nandlal

we are lucky, inflation numbers good.. our minnifty should fetch us good profit if crude behaves and GDP is good.. when is the GDP number going to be released?

28 Aug 2008 20:49

28th July

Posted by : gv
View full thread (90 messages)

Tracked by: 0 Boarder

Dear novice,
You summed up nicely
But-I am not able to reconcile the increase in number of new Mobile connections
Month after month
Regds
GV...

In reply to:

28th July

Posted by : novice1000

dear pitquote,

Hats off to you.You have touched the crux of the problem.

Though i am not aware about the official numbers which you mentioned, i have been watching the ground level scenario very carefully and it clearly shows how the purchasing power has been shrinking over the years.

In fact the process of shirking started in the year 2005 and it peaked in the year 2008.And it would take a couple of years to recoup and to see some improvement in the purchasing power of the lower segment of the middle class and the lower class.

That is the reason i clearly mentioned in many msgs in the recent past \\` though markets raise temporarily for the time being, it is difficult to see those levels on a sustainable basis \\`.

Next one or two years ( basing on how crude prices pan out in the next 3 to 6 months), investments in stock markets have to be very stock specific.

While the investors are worried about their investments, lower segment of the society is really struggling hard to cope with higher cost of living.

regards

28 Aug 2008 20:34
View full thread (90 messages)

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how sad that i bought only one lot of minifty... i do have one call 4300 CE september series so the two should more than wipe out losses today.. i bought the 4300 Sept CE for Rs 145 i guess and the minifty for Rs 4238... what about you?...

In reply to:

28th July

Posted by : vam_aru

Inflation eases to 12.4% on drop in fuel, power prices ( From NDTVProfit dot com )

US GDP is come at around 3.3 % ,Good rate considering the economic conditions, and The US markets are rallying now.

for our markets Inflation is the key, so tomorrow we should be seeing good rally in banking, Cap goods , and Infrastructure stocks ( as RBI will not Intervene with rates again for now )

Regards

Aru


28 Aug 2008 20:31

28th July

Posted by : vam_aru
View full thread (90 messages)

Tracked by: 0 Boarder

Inflation eases to 12.4% on drop in fuel, power prices ( From NDTVProfit dot com )

US GDP is come at around 3.3 % ,Good rate considering the economic conditions, and The US markets are rallying now.

for our markets Inflation is the key, so tomorrow we should be seeing good rally in banking, Cap goods , and Infrastructure stocks ( as RBI will not Intervene with rates again for now )

Regards

Aru


...

In reply to:

28th July

Posted by : radhika_nandlal

we are lucky, inflation numbers good.. our minnifty should fetch us good profit if crude behaves and GDP is good.. when is the GDP number going to be released?

28 Aug 2008 19:53
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THIS IS MY VIEW ABOUT MARKET IN THE COMING MONTH. I OBSERVE IN TECHINCAL CHARTS IN NIFTY THAT ITS TOO WEAK TO HEADED DOWNWARD TARGET TO 4150 FIRST. ANY CLOSING BELOW 4189 WILL FIX NIFTY\\\\\\`S TARGET TO 3760 IN THE MONTH OF SEPTEMBER ... ABHIJIT...

28 Aug 2008 19:41

28th July

Posted by : novice1000
View full thread (90 messages)

Tracked by: 0 Boarder

dear pitquote,

Hats off to you.You have touched the crux of the problem.

Though i am not aware about the official numbers which you mentioned, i have been watching the ground level scenario very carefully and it clearly shows how the purchasing power has been shrinking over the years.

In fact the process of shirking started in the year 2005 and it peaked in the year 2008.And it would take a couple of years to recoup and to see some improvement in the purchasing power of the lower segment of the middle class and the lower class.

That is the reason i clearly mentioned in many msgs in the recent past \\` though markets raise temporarily for the time being, it is difficult to see those levels on a sustainable basis \\`.

Next one or two years ( basing on how crude prices pan out in the next 3 to 6 months), investments in stock markets have to be very stock specific.

While the investors are worried about their investments, lower segment of the society is really struggling hard to cope with higher cost of living.

regards
...

In reply to:

28th July

Posted by : pitquote

Dear Mrs Radhika
Market is critically poised. Let us see how it moves before this month end- Personally either way the market should be active and not choppy. Yes- Fall or rise- let it be three digits- We all talk of GDP - PE and other things. None bothered to have a look at Per capita income which has eroded by more than 18 percent when comparing to CLI (cost of living index). Disposable income has shrinked is taking a lot of beating. Cheers and have a nice day.

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