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Market Analysis - Technical View
Tracked by: 4 Boarders
gian yaar
I guess i asked u to visit my home page, may be a month back...????? My stock list has dissappeared into my pvt mail box....LOL
Yeah this whole place is completely changed all over again & my home-page is gone down the doldrums.... I will update it soon , but rite now really busy with lot of my business work
I jus chcked that it is there when i click my pvt. msg box...
I will copy it soon , whenever i get time...
cheers!!...
In reply to:
WatSay Folks, UC today?-Pranky!! :)
Posted by :
giants
dear pranky i cannot see your stock picks on your homepage now
sorrry for late reply
Jayant
-----------------------------
your message to me
hey giant
Pal, Why dont U go on my home-page.. & chk out my picks & also the history of what I have done with my LT investments, I do keep updating as & when.....U bet its not been an easy ride..... highly roller-coaster types..!!
Tracked by: 4 Boarders
What hpnd to ur other *Gokul* form..??? :)
And why did u delete my msg here???
Did U hear that *Teri Ore* song or no????? Grrrrrr.......
In reply to:
WatSay Folks, UC today?-Pranky!! :)
Posted by :
marketdoubts
Pranks,
How can i put that format here.. however i will give you a link... you can see the format and a very few messages which open on clicking... take a look... .ITS YESTERDAY ONCE MORE.. I am busy with a project and cannot do the coding now.. but will try... whenever i take a break from my word document i will try some stunts on MMB... ok i will post one message first and then give you THE link.
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
thanks RN for the update....
In reply to:
18th August
Posted by : radhika_nandlal
Nifty: Bearish. TRIN oversold in keeping with the fall.
DowJones: MACD sell divergence, distribution, overheated... all in all bearish though bull power and bear power favor bulls... they may open positive but could slide if not today at least tomorrow?
CRUDE: MACD buy divergence AND accumulation so bullish, but since the demand is not there any amount of threats to crude output does not ignite the bulls. LOL
Just a view... i have been wrong equal number of times that i have been right so dont take me as any kind of authority....just a view darlings. lol
Tracked by: 4 Boarders
dear pranky i cannot see your stock picks on your homepage now
sorrry for late reply
Jayant
-----------------------------
your message to me
hey giant
Pal, Why dont U go on my home-page.. & chk out my picks & also the history of what I have done with my LT investments, I do keep updating as & when.....U bet its not been an easy ride..... highly roller-coaster types..!!
...
In reply to:
WatSay Folks, UC today?-Pranky!! :)
Posted by : pranky
hey giant
Pal, Why dont U go on my home-page.. & chk out my picks & also the history of what I have done with my LT investments, I do keep updating as & when.....U bet its not been an easy ride..... highly roller-coaster types..!!
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
Intraday Buy nifty aug fut between 4385-4375 for tgt 4410,4420 as 4385 is strong support u can see sharp bounce for 10-40 points...enjoy!!!!...
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
Dear zoombusiness i agree with your views on your stocks to watch. Certainly GE offshore and Gujarat NRE coke are future superstars in volatile markets as well. For your information i don't own any socks you had mentioned....
In reply to:
Watch
Posted by : zoombusiness
stocks to watch ..Great offshore , Gijrat NRE ,Akruti city, Rolta industries , ,Ssatyam and HDFC
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
stocks to watch ..Great offshore , Gijrat NRE ,Akruti city, Rolta industries , ,Ssatyam and HDFC
...
Tracked by: 1 Boarder
Dear Sir:
Please give the NIFTY references too as that is the highest traded security.
Thank you,
j....
In reply to:
Uptrend in question: Vasudeo
Posted by : MMB Messenger
A weak candle last week puts a question mark for a further uptrend. Exit long positions at 15167-15579 as the opportunity arises.
Tracked by: 1 Boarder
A weak candle last week puts a question mark for a further uptrend. Exit long positions at 15167-15579 as the opportunity arises....
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
Dear Prakash:
At 08.46 you say S:4269 R:4500.
At 08.50 you say S:4464 R:4620-4771.
Which call is for Mon. the 18th.
Thanks in advance....
In reply to:
Market looks weak: Gaba
Posted by : MMB Messenger
Technically the market looks weak and should be heading down; the next technical targets on the way down are 14404-14047-13685.
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
Technically the market looks weak and should be heading down; the next technical targets on the way down are 14404-14047-13685....
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
INDIA Infoline --has recommended a ‘sell’ on Hero Honda, as it feels high interest rates could affect the company’s sales. “Although, Hero Honda (HHL) has been outperforming in the past 4-5 months, as Bajaj Auto pulled out of the 100-cc segment and TVS delayed the launch of kFlamem, we expect the industry concerns to catch up with HHL too, in near to medium term,” the brokerage said in a note to clients. In order to improve asset quality and address problem of rising delinquencies, some key banks have discontinued or slowed down their auto loan business at the dealer end. With 60% of two-wheeler sales being financed, this move has seriously impacted industry fortunes. “During Q1 FY09, HHL posted a 5% quarter-on-quarter jump in realisations. However, operating profit margins declined by 280 bps Q-o-Q, largely on account of rise in raw material cost. It also spent Rs 32 crore on advertising during the Indian Premier League. We expect margins to remain under pressure in coming quarters,” the note added.
Hero Honda CMP: Rs 692 Target Price: Rs 785.10
HSBC Securities --has retained its ‘underweight’ rating on Unitech with a price target of Rs 158, as it feels further returns from current levels could be limited in the absence of any catalysts. The brokerage feels property prices will have to come down if demand has to pick up. “Residential segment occupies around 79% of the total saleable area and roughly 46% of the gross asset value. Within the residential space, a few cities hold a large exposure, exposing Unitech to absorption and price risk in these markets,” the HSBC note to clients said. “Agra and Varanasi would contribute around 35% of Unitech’s total retail development. Since these cities are currently too small to absorb such a large supply of retail space, we remain skeptical on the company’s retail plans in these two cities, the note added.
Unitech CMP: Rs 169.35 Target Price: Rs 158
Stox and More has given an out performer rating on Polaris with a price target of 125; maintaining its positive outlook on the technology sector. According to Stox and More, “results have been robust given the existing global environment, The US economy will get stronger in the coming months & Outsourcing will have a positive outflow. Polaris has indicated that its product portfolio has remained average to below average affected at present due to global slowdown. Given the valuations, we recommend it to buy and accumulate at these levels”, said the Stox and More note to the clients.
Polaris CMP: Rs 108 Target Price: Rs 125
CLSA has reaffirmed-- its ‘under perform’ rating on Satyam saying it does not expect any spectacular financial performance by the IT services major. “We continue to be surprised by the lack of any positive commentary or data points on demand even into mid-August, with only three months left before the next budgeting cycle,” the CLSA note to clients said. According to CLSA, Satyam commented that in April, its “stretch target” for growth in FY09 would have been 30% year-on-year (guidance of 24-26% Y-o-Y). “But after the 1Q disappointment and continued demand uncertainty, this margin of safety has somewhat shrunk.
Our revenue growth forecast is currently 27%. With no breakout performance (relative to peers) indicated by financials, we expect the stock to reflect sector sentiment hereon,” the note added.
Satyam Computer CMP: Rs 411.90 Target Price: Rs 430
ICICI Securities --has maintained its ‘buy’ recommendation on Lanco Infratech with a price target
of Rs 343, but has lowered earnings estimates for FY09 and FY10 by 34% and 42%, respectively, citing slowdown in the infrastructure space. “Slowdown in realty has led to 15-20% downgrade in selling prices across projects and increased the cost of equity, cost of debt and cap rates 200 bps each, implying 43% downgrade in real estate NAV to Rs 22 billion or Rs 100/share,” said the ICICI Securities note to clients. “As per our funding analysis on Lanco (both debt and equity), we expect no funding risk for its upcoming power and real-estate projects. Despite earnings downgrade, Lanco enjoys healthy growth in construction order book, discounted valuations of power portfolio, strong earnings momentum and robust business model,” the note added.
Lanco Infratech CMP: Rs 312.70 Target Price: Rs 564
...
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
Q
It appears from your analysis that you are in favour of selling the strangle than buying it...but in your one of the earliar mail you said that you are not comfortable with selling the options.So what is your recommendation now?....do I take it that selling options can be managed with proper monitoring and stop loss?
UQ
I am not in favour of any specific strategy - I just pointed out that one can make money selling strangles too.
I am still not comfortable with selling options.
Any strategy can be managed with proper monitoring, setting stop-loss and trading discipline.
OT...
In reply to:
11th August
Posted by :
mohanji
Dear OT,
Thanks for your indepth analysis of sold strangle.It appears from your analysis that you are in favour of selling the strangle than buying it...but in your one of the earliar mail you said that you are not comfortable with selling the options.So what is your recommendation now?....do I take it that selling options can be managed with proper monitoring and stop loss? regards
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
Nifty: Bearish. TRIN oversold in keeping with the fall.
DowJones: MACD sell divergence, distribution, overheated... all in all bearish though bull power and bear power favor bulls... they may open positive but could slide if not today at least tomorrow?
CRUDE: MACD buy divergence AND accumulation so bullish, but since the demand is not there any amount of threats to crude output does not ignite the bulls. LOL
Just a view... i have been wrong equal number of times that i have been right so dont take me as any kind of authority....just a view darlings. lol...
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
Corporate India saw a brisk pace of growth in net sales during the first quarter, no doubt; but an analysis of the results reveals that the increase in input costs and the rising interest burden are holding back earnings growth for India Inc.
For about 2,000 companies analysed, sales in the first quarter of 2008 grew a robust 38 per cent over the same period of last year. This is much higher than the 17 per cent managed in the June quarter of 2007. The sales growth managed by India Inc presents quite a contrasting picture to sagging industrial production (IIP) numbers month after month. This suggests that either the IIP is not reflecting some of the fast growing segments of the economy or that listed companies are managing to do much better than the overall industry.
The sales growth this quarter has been led by such sectors as engineering, construction and steel, which individually witnessed topline growth of 46 per cent, 40 per cent and 37 per cent respectively. Software, telecom, media and pharma did not fare badly either, growing 25-30 per cent.
But a closer look reveals that this growth may have been led more by price increases than by an actual rise in volumes, the auto sector being a case in point. Faced with rising prices of inputs such as steel and aluminium, auto-makers raised prices during the quarter.
- Business Line (The Hindu Group)...
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