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Market Analysis - Technical View
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
Well I'm not the epert option trader, But i know that if we are not trading above 4300 by 1:30 or 2:00, The Buy 4300 calls will get worsen. I have risked 3 K Plus brokerages now, I might be looking for a 75 % to 100 % ( plus or Minus )...
In reply to:
28th July
Posted by :
radhika_nandlal
Bearcartel and Vam,
yes its risky... but what fun to watch.. quick on the uptake and quick on teh downtake.. quicksilver 4300 PE CE today.. lol lol.. i think traders make money only on day of expiry trading both ways for some decent gains... now the 4300 CE can be sold and can be bought for decent gains if we dont close flat.. could u put down the theoretical losses and gains? 
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Looks like we are seeing a head and shoulder. Which means if we go below 4250 on a closing bases, we are headed to 3800 then....
In reply to:
Crude rally may push Nifty below 4,250: Ashwani Gujral
Posted by : MMB Messenger
Technical Analyst, Ashwani Gujral said that one should trade once current levels are broken. According to him, the rally is tapering off and markets are forming lower lows. He feels that if crude goes above USD 120 per barrel, Nifty may go below 4250 levels. He believes that markets may revisit lows.
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Technical Analyst, Ashwani Gujral said that one should trade once current levels are broken. According to him, the rally is tapering off and markets are forming lower lows. He feels that if crude goes above USD 120 per barrel, Nifty may go below 4250 levels. He believes that markets may revisit lows....
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Inspiration from WHAM ( pop band from 1981 )My Initial and First letter and last letter formed VAM,
I think i will book the profits at around 2:30 PM if NIFTY touches 4315 or 4320, I will not wait for the expiry.
Regards
Aru
...
In reply to:
28th July
Posted by : radhika_nandlal
Why ur nick is vam? Vaman??
Yes even i am plannign to go long at 12:15..... but first hvae to check.. do u think we should book profits instead of allowing it to be settled?
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Bearcartel and Vam,
yes its risky... but what fun to watch.. quick on the uptake and quick on teh downtake.. quicksilver 4300 PE CE today.. lol lol.. i think traders make money only on day of expiry trading both ways for some decent gains... now the 4300 CE can be sold and can be bought for decent gains if we dont close flat.. could u put down the theoretical losses and gains?...
In reply to:
28th July
Posted by : BearCartel
I am avoiding trade for today as a 4300 close will waste both sides... though I think 4320 should happen today once, but taking no chances...
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
Why ur nick is vam? Vaman??
Yes even i am plannign to go long at 12:15..... but first hvae to check.. do u think we should book profits instead of allowing it to be settled?...
In reply to:
28th July
Posted by :
vam_aru
I have added one more 9.50 , Going by the trend we should be up by the end of the day, I am willing to risk up to 5 K today,( I have 5 lots now at 11.1 now )
Let's see...
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I have added one more 9.50 , Going by the trend we should be up by the end of the day, I am willing to risk up to 5 K today,( I have 5 lots now at 11.1 now )
Let's see...
...
In reply to:
28th July
Posted by : radhika_nandlal
Lets ask oldtimer for the best straddle or stangle today.. considering we could slip 75 point this way or that and there is decent money to be made either way should we buy 4300 ce and 4300 puts in equal amounts?? If it closes flat god help... we lose all.. but i dont mind risking my profits for more profits.... i wouldnt advise that to someone who still has only his capital intact or even less.. LOL
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I am avoiding trade for today as a 4300 close will waste both sides... though I think 4320 should happen today once, but taking no chances......
In reply to:
28th July
Posted by : radhika_nandlal
Bearcartel, mohanji, Samona, vam_aru, jadus...
The excel workbook has indications for various indices and also for NSE equities.
Only the last row of each file has formulae, so the file is less bulky to handle. Formulaes are very space consuming you see.
The 4300 CE August series is Rs 10 now and is very tempting considering that the 4200 CE for Augsut is quoting at Rs 70 for just a 75 point rise.. so if nifty rises 75 points then this should quote Rs 50 at least15 mins before close.. lol lol...should we buy, we lose little but can gain a lot.. FTSE may open mildly positive and we could spurt.. so lets wait until 12:15 check nifty and then buy.. but u have to risk losing all the premium.. game? I might buy them at 12:15, but dont follow coz i have been wrong several times.
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albenjoel,
Thats exactly what my broker charges too.... so its fair....
In reply to:
28th July
Posted by :
albenjoel
hi radhika , i wish to congragulate you first, i have tracking you for some time and you have really learned the language of traders. i wish to know one thing whats the brokerage charges you are paying for options trading, my broker charges 80rs per lot (minimum) for one side even if the the lot price is as low as 200rs,help me please
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Lets ask oldtimer for the best straddle or stangle today.. considering we could slip 75 point this way or that and there is decent money to be made either way should we buy 4300 ce and 4300 puts in equal amounts?? If it closes flat god help... we lose all.. but i dont mind risking my profits for more profits.... i wouldnt advise that to someone who still has only his capital intact or even less.. LOL...
In reply to:
28th July
Posted by : vam_aru
Dear RN,
From the morning i bet on that started taking the Aug 4300 CE ( BUY ) I have 4 lots at 11 rs now.
Regards
Aru
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Hi Jadus,
When we had the bull run last year and i had just learn the ropes i traded a lot of stocks with good profits coz it was a bull market. Now in this range bound market i only trade nifty coz its more profitable than stocks. But if i do spot a stock with a lot of bullishness i buy for delivery. Range bound markets nifty is the best bet. My own relative is my broker actually a subbroker and she charges the same rate as standard brokers... i have no clue about brokerage or my profits, losses or taxes... everything her hubby takes care of... i am bad at placing orders as i have at times clicked buy when i wanted to sell so i decided the handling of orders should be done by my broker.... besides the tax implications etc i get advise from them...I dont see charts though i undrestand them... once u read alex you will understand charts well coz he is only referring to charts... he could even think my excel is some frankenstein monster...just a piece of innovation what say? I refer charts when somebody talks of an interseting pattern like say head and shoulders and i am tempted to see how this pattern gets reflected in my excel numbers...
In reply to:
28th July
Posted by : jadus
Hi radhika,
Thanks a lot for the file. I have down loaded the zip file, now I will have better understanding the formula from your blogs & be in a better position to under stand the technical indicators from the book. I wanted to know, do you rely only on excel sheet or compare it with any chart software?. Do you trade only in nifty or you use stocks or stocks future ?
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
Dear RN,
From the morning i bet on that started taking the Aug 4300 CE ( BUY ) I have 4 lots at 11 rs now.
Regards
Aru...
In reply to:
28th July
Posted by : radhika_nandlal
Bearcartel, mohanji, Samona, vam_aru, jadus...
The excel workbook has indications for various indices and also for NSE equities.
Only the last row of each file has formulae, so the file is less bulky to handle. Formulaes are very space consuming you see.
The 4300 CE August series is Rs 10 now and is very tempting considering that the 4200 CE for Augsut is quoting at Rs 70 for just a 75 point rise.. so if nifty rises 75 points then this should quote Rs 50 at least15 mins before close.. lol lol...should we buy, we lose little but can gain a lot.. FTSE may open mildly positive and we could spurt.. so lets wait until 12:15 check nifty and then buy.. but u have to risk losing all the premium.. game? I might buy them at 12:15, but dont follow coz i have been wrong several times.
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
Bearcartel, mohanji, Samona, vam_aru, jadus...
The excel workbook has indications for various indices and also for NSE equities.
Only the last row of each file has formulae, so the file is less bulky to handle. Formulaes are very space consuming you see.
The 4300 CE August series is Rs 10 now and is very tempting considering that the 4200 CE for Augsut is quoting at Rs 70 for just a 75 point rise.. so if nifty rises 75 points then this should quote Rs 50 at least15 mins before close.. lol lol...should we buy, we lose little but can gain a lot.. FTSE may open mildly positive and we could spurt.. so lets wait until 12:15 check nifty and then buy.. but u have to risk losing all the premium.. game? I might buy them at 12:15, but dont follow coz i have been wrong several times....
In reply to:
28th July
Posted by : radhika_nandlal
NIFTY: Bearish as far as trend following indicators MACD, ADX go, but the immediate term indicator Elder Ray's bull power and bear says Nifty is bullish and thats something becoz we lost considerably during the last hour of trade. The TRIN is oversold at 0.9 and even if it reflects some shorts, they may not get covered immediately becoz global cues are tepid. We could be volatile and rangebound, lackluster for most part of the day but could spurt anytime becoz of the elder ray indications. I would go long at lows. The MACD buy divergence disappeared with the 3:30 data based on which i bought one 5300 CE but it was present with the 3:15 data.
DOWJONES:Looks bullish per trend following indicators MACD and ADX. The Elder Ray too indicates bullishness as the bull power has increased as compared to 26th July and the bear power has a less negative value indicating bearishness fizzling out. The TRINS are in keeping with the rise and fall from highs. Nothing much to rea off the TRIN
CRUDE: Very very mixed and so could be volatile. For one the ADX has ticked up massively which is scary and very bullish. The MACD too says buy crude, so trend following indicators are bullish on crude. The Elder Ray too is bullish. But the RSI for the second day in a row says SELL CRUDE and there is distribution for the second day in a row which is bearish. Selling on rallies will be the trend in crude today.
FNO Cues: Only september FNO cues are worth tracking now but i need two more days of data to get study the pattern. Give fno cues a miss during expiry and in the first few days of the new contract.
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Hi radhika,
Thanks a lot for the file. I have down loaded the zip file, now I will have better understanding the formula from your blogs & be in a better position to under stand the technical indicators from the book. I wanted to know, do you rely only on excel sheet or compare it with any chart software?. Do you trade only in nifty or you use stocks or stocks future ?
...
In reply to:
28th July
Posted by : radhika_nandlal
oops why am i always writing 5300 for 4300?? No wonder pranks calls me waydooh... absent minded... yes its 4300 of course...my excel sheet link with the latest data is on a blog
http: // ww w dot baankbihari dot blogspot dot com
The file is about 10.7 MB in size the zipped file itself and it takes 10 mins to download... so you need patience...
Some facts about the file in the next post...
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Vipuji, would request you also give figures below which the bullishnes negates along with your regular posts, This level you have mentioned several times, so better mention along with your views too... otherwise many will be ready to point fingers :)...
In reply to:
10....9....8....Countdown on for.CRUCIAL
Posted by : amarakbar
Dear nightowl,
Jai shree krishna.
Adani and mundra belong to same group- they have good FUTURE ahead - my view is HOLD and add more in any panic if at all panic happens, i very much doubt any BEARISH period as we are at CRUCIAL PROBABLE UPWARD BREAKOUT POINT.
I am from Gujarat , have little better idea about groups of Gujarat.
Your investments are good, just give them 2 to 3 years to yield results,
warm regards
Vipul Lashkari
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