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Moneycontrol >> Messageboard >> Market View >> Market Analysis - Technical View
   You are here :     Moneycontrol     MMB   Market View   Market Analysis - Technical View

Market Analysis - Technical View

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06 Oct 2008 23:03

Lalit,

Even i predicted a rally of 2000-2400 points last week.... So.. bad luck!

Have a nice flight!...

In reply to:

3600 gone , what NEXT ? 2755 or 4405?

Posted by : Lalitdeshpandey

raj_tibs,

HATS OFF....

You are Interested boarder.

APES.... Most on MMB are APES... Only one expert.kalidas whopredicted sensex rally of 2400 points on 26 tha morning.
still arguing with me.

Help yaar.. I have to catch flight in next hour.
Please reply him on that thread of RALLY 2400 point.
Love you,

bye...

06 Oct 2008 22:51

TC,

Please do not call me SIR!

Regards,


...

In reply to:

3600 gone , what NEXT ? 2755 or 4405?

Posted by : TrueCompanion

Sir,

Nifty 3300 looks likely. If somehow It breaches 3000 and touches 2600-2700, I am 80% confident the rebounce will be equally fierce with non stop flight to 5000 by current FY end.
Theory of probability seems to dictate index can not behave abnormally for a period of more than 6 months and Nifty 4200-4250 is inevitable in 6-8 months.

regards
TC

06 Oct 2008 22:49

Apes have done better using dartboards than 79% analysts in the past :-) ANd they NEVER needed to commit suicide :-) Better become an APE, or an expert! So you deal only with "throwing darts" and, if an expert, "charging for it" :-) Better than throwing ones money behind the dart :-)...

In reply to:

3600 gone , what NEXT ? 2755 or 4405?

Posted by : Lalitdeshpandey

Dear Raj,

And 5 Th stage ???

probaly SUICIDE ?????

06 Oct 2008 22:48

Sir,

Nifty 3300 looks likely. If somehow It breaches 3000 and touches 2600-2700, I am 80% confident the rebounce will be equally fierce with non stop flight to 5000 by current FY end.
Theory of probability seems to dictate index can not behave abnormally for a period of more than 6 months and Nifty 4200-4250 is inevitable in 6-8 months.

regards
TC...

In reply to:

3600 gone , what NEXT ? 2755 or 4405?

Posted by : raj_tibs

Step 1: Instal a dartboard
Step 2: Secure the darts safely in your hand
Step 3: Blindflod yourself real tight (mae sure not a single ray of light can reach you)
Step 4: Take a blind shot at the dartboard

Result: You will beat the median expert poll with a proability of 0.793 :-)

06 Oct 2008 22:32

Step 1: Instal a dartboard
Step 2: Secure the darts safely in your hand
Step 3: Blindflod yourself real tight (mae sure not a single ray of light can reach you)
Step 4: Take a blind shot at the dartboard

Result: You will beat the median expert poll with a proability of 0.793 :-)...

In reply to:

3600 gone , what NEXT ? 2755 or 4405?

Posted by : Lalitdeshpandey

Dear Boarders and Moderators,

Most popular and live thread ,WILL Nifty Hit 3600 and Sensex 12000???

now 3600 gone , what NEXT ??

2755 or 4405 ?????

It would be of much help if few of experts can post their logical views.
(Views backed by TA or Logic )
I reuest all experts to share, including MMB Team, Udayan Mukherji, Emkay stock and most popular NIFTY MASTER, Kotak Investments...

Thanks,

lalit.

06 Oct 2008 22:29
View full thread (18 messages)

Tracked by: 0 Boarder

Addressed to  sharelion,  market roumer,  Kalidas,  Kaliababa,  Sharekhan363,  share&stock,  KothariView,  Market Tips,  Sharedetective,  Share tip,  kothamasu,  marketmagician,  share guru,  maringanti,  market mad,  shareboss,  share d shares,  shareandgrow,  marketrocks,  MarketMaster,  marketpup,  sharesguru,  ShareMan,  sharecare,  MarketMaverick,  Sharepa,  kothary,  SHAREKHAN,  share dada,  market mate,  korukanti,  Kali Das,  KALIKI,  kaliniwas,  KALKIBHAGAWAN,  kalkishore2007,  kalkotivinay,  MarketFresher,  marketplus,  kalla,  shares@hyd,  share expert,  kosuruvr,  kotakjea,  kotakvs,  kotas,  kotasrinivasrao,  kota_nayak,  kotesh,  koteshr,  kotesh_hyd,  kothariharishb,  kothari_shiv,  kothari_varun,  shares08,  share-O-rama,  Market viewer,  maridi,  kotdwara,  marianm,  mariapeter46,  mariogun,  maripaka,  market18,  marketmadness,  marketmaharaj,  marketmantra,  marketmean,  sharebuff,  SHARE-LOVER,  mmanchanda,  mmankikar,  MMB Moderator,  MMA_0910,  shareshare,  sharebaaz,  marketobserver,  market mantra,  shareKamina,  Share KhanSb,  sharecub,  marketman,  Share Lalu,  share boy,  Share Tracker,  KOTAK GUY,  share2rakesh,  sharekira,  sharepower,  marketmaniac19,  Marketmarauder,  market pro,  KotakInvestment,  share krishna,  shareabrar,  sharecompro2,  shareexpress77,  sharekid,  shareking.co.in,  sharesandshares,  sharesstatus,  MarketGuru,  shares2invest,  ShareKaRaj,  share..khoj,  market 2008,  marketreader,  Mark.Mobis,  shares-ek juaa,  marketlearner

Dear Boarders and Moderators,

Most popular and live thread ,WILL Nifty Hit 3600 and Sensex 12000???

now 3600 gone , what NEXT ??

2755 or 4405 ?????

It would be of much help if few of experts can post their logical views.
(Views backed by TA or Logic )
I reuest all experts to share, including MMB Team, Udayan Mukherji, Emkay stock and most popular NIFTY MASTER, Kotak Investments...

Thanks,

lalit....

06 Oct 2008 21:35

Rudra bro.
U ever heard of the term `slingshot stradle" ? sent you a private e mail - hopefully it is clear. let me have your views on that. It has worked wonders for me in the US market as well as here in India.

...

In reply to:

I better put an end to my predictions

Posted by : rudra_sinha

Thanks Mohanji.

At the current market scenario, if you want to take a position and not intraday trading, then I believe stradle position is the best i.e. buying the Nifty PUT and CALL for the same strike price. Currently 4100 straddle is the best option unless market opens with a huge gap up, which I doubt it would.

And once your position gets into decent profit, square off both the PUT and CALL and shift the straddle closer to the Nifty value. Say after you buy the 4100 straddle and Nifty moves up above 4300 and your straddle gets into a decent profit, square off the entire straddle and take position into 4300 straddle. Hope it is clear to you.

Thanks,
Rudra

06 Oct 2008 21:13

BSE Consumer Durables index drops over 11%; Realty index down 10%; market breadth bearish - out of over 2,675 scrips traded, over 2,365 declined...


...

06 Oct 2008 21:07

Now CRR rate hike is announced. Earlier PN ban was lifte. Petrol and Diesal price will be shortly reduced. Interest rate will be reduced. Inflation due to this measures will be reduced to single digit. Hence market will stabilise around this level if not relief rally. Hence my suggestion is to buy not to sell. Eventhough US market is down I anticipate recovery in late hours or tomorrow. Strat buying from tomorrow afternoon.

aahoo (the real bull of Indian story)...

In reply to:

WHICH SECTOR TO REBOUND AFTER THIS CRASH

Posted by : aahoo

We have seen enough bearish grip and should get ready for a bull run here after. Normally after every crash market will rebound with vigor. Now we must be ready to earn money by taking short term call. Normally the most hammered counter has a very bright chance. Metals are the most hammered counter. But I see there is no chance for this counter to rally. It looks weak even after the crash. Power sector are the ones which are trading range bound. There may not be any hope for immense gain in ST. Banking counters are looking solid and I do not know why. May be it is a good call for decent gain ST. PNB, UCO. SBI are looking strong and one can take position for decent gain. Oil marketing and refinery sectors are the other sector which may prove multi bagger under crude oil bearishness. I consider Gail, Petronet LNG, MRPL. Chennai Perto, and Bongaigon excellent picks. Apart from that there may be some stock specific rally like Bajaj holding, Bombay Deying, Mahendra Gesco and some telecom stocks like MTNL and TATATELE Services.

Dear boarders please include your picks for short time gain in this thread. Please only long no shorts.

With regards

aahoo

06 Oct 2008 19:34

Hi True...

Markets reaching near towards my pessimistic target...

I feel there could be a small bounce from here due to the positive news flow from domestic and if Infy`s Guidance gives some hope then short covering will trigger a small rally.... Good time to start looking for investments instead of trading in this uncertain periods... ...

In reply to:

Trap for the Bears ready....Beware of the Friday\'s Trap...

Posted by : truecharts

Hi Gunamji,

Looks like its very very likely to breach 3800 and fall beyond. I Would even contemplate being 100% on cash. Just as a fellow boarder had dreamt even breach of 3600 very soon looks quite likely.

TC

06 Oct 2008 19:19

dear mohanji,
its good that you are in cash and should be smiling with courage. markets are nearing its bottom. you can start building your portfolio gradually. select good stocks with good fundamentals and accumulate. My personal view is that you can deploy 50% of your cash at present levels.

regards
shakti...

In reply to:

HELP HELP HELP !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Posted by : mohanji

Dear Rudra ,
Thanks for your concern.Actually in present market conditions, I couldn`t gather courage to take any position but do keep in touch and advice me for any good position to be taken now in next few days,i will be obliged.wish you best of journey and regards.

06 Oct 2008 19:14

dear sam_pd,
no downward circuit possible now. but some deep cuts still awaiting ahead.

regards
shakti...

In reply to:

EWT Alert: Bounce Back on card

Posted by : sam_pd

its not only fire sale in stocks but also in sebi policy. sebi removes ODI restrictions. same ODI restriction related polciy was responsible for lower circuit on sensex and 2000+ point of swing in a single trading session.

ye paisa bolta hai
ye paisa bolta hai

06 Oct 2008 18:47

Today as the sensex slips below 12000
and nifty Below 3600. Is this Just because of Global Market weak clues ? or just because of FII`s selling done ?
But still dear fnds now the market has bottom out and today it was great day to build your portfolio.

NIFTY has a target of 3850 in this week Itself.

So wish u all happy Investing....

06 Oct 2008 17:00

its not only fire sale in stocks but also in sebi policy. sebi removes ODI restrictions. same ODI restriction related polciy was responsible for lower circuit on sensex and 2000+ point of swing in a single trading session.

ye paisa bolta hai
ye paisa bolta hai
...

In reply to:

EWT Alert: Bounce Back on card

Posted by : sam_pd

big fire sale has happened today and picked some fire sale goodies/scraps.

06 Oct 2008 16:51

Dear Rudra ,
Thanks for your concern.Actually in present market conditions, I couldn`t gather courage to take any position but do keep in touch and advice me for any good position to be taken now in next few days,i will be obliged.wish you best of journey and regards....

In reply to:

HELP HELP HELP !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Posted by : rudra_sinha

Mohanji,

I am travelling this whole week and on board a train right now. Just logged in to say, if anybody has 3900 straddle, book profit in the PUT and keep the CALL. I am bullish in market now.

Thanks,
Rudra

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