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marketman  
Joined on : 4th-Jan-2004
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Investor from India.... wanting to learn and earn more from stock market....


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Customers see the liquidity,stock market participants concern about the profits.... there may be liquidity in the bank for its survival for few more months,or govt may help them out of way.... but investors worry is whether bank gives profits or not.... at this point,the management/rbi/fm not commented on their profits.... that is the reason for stock falling on daily basis.... the lquidity and profits are quite different terms....

Infy,one of the most respectable companies in inida has givien negative guidance for the coming quarter.... that cant be digested by the market.... if the sitution continues like this for some more time in the continents of US and Erope,the topline could be effected by nearly 30% which can give lot of preesures on the company`s business model....so,as far as infy is concerned worst has just begun.... pl note that there are no clear signs of reversal of recession in global economy soon....

Regarding markets behaviour,yes there may be a chance of some bounce as global leaders working hard towards the stabilisation of financial markets worldwide.... but continuous fii sellings,lack of domestic investors confidence,expected mutual funds redemption pressures etcetc may offset near term positives if any.... pl note that negative surprise is given by latest iip numbers.......
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11 Oct 2008 09:44
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Yes,in bear markets, intelligent investors concentrate on dividend pay outs.... buying stocks which have huge dividend record is defintely better idea in this situation.... but stick to quality grwoth oriented business models.... there may be few corporates sell their shares and pay the dividends.... be careful in selecting counters on the basis of dividend criteria.......
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11 Oct 2008 09:36
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Yes dear incrediblinvest,crashing commodity and fallen crude prices will help the rupee to recover from its all time lows.... but, present outflows by fiis causing the worry.... we have dollar outflows in this year sofar and analysts expecting there may not be positive flows in 2009 also.... ofcourse rupee is unnecesarily beaten down to much lower levels in recent days....

Yes,inflation in india will come down to single digit mark soon.......
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11 Oct 2008 09:29
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Radhika,cash banks them selves are in failure mode in recent times.... who cares about land banks/people banks.... market laughing at us if we talk about land bank,in present situation....

For example i have bought the gulf oil corp on the basis of land bank value,now it is quoting at exactly 50% of my buy price.... ofcourse it is quoting near to 10% of its peak price.......
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10 Oct 2008 21:14
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For the past few sessions,the attack is centralised on frontline stocks only despite support from govt funds.... govt arranging easy exit rout to few fiis in front line counters.... if this type of buyings continue by uti/lic,these organisations also will be in trouble in the near term.... if interested,select your choice of 3/4 quality midcaps of growth counters which are beaten down badly for investment.... ...
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Dear radhika,is there any chance of psu banks failing during this turmoil.... few observers beleive today`s crr cut is mainly announced for survival of few psu banks.... so,now the banks are said to be alive atleast for some time.... but 60000 crores liquidty is just like peanuts for stock market fii outflows.......
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10 Oct 2008 21:01
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Dear novice,the stock markets collapsed/crashed more than 50% within few months.... analysts have been telling us at diiferent stages as fair valued levels.... if felt 10000 is fair level,somebody talke 9000 and few otheres tell 8000 and so on like that.... now people are not caring health of markets,worrying about the welath of them.... many investors lost more than 90% investment in stock markets in recent times.... finally now,all the hopes are given up and specailists telling the poor fundamentals ahead with bad corporate performance in coming terms.... that is a cause of worry here......
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